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macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

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    1. Agustin Lebron‏ @AgustinLebron3 5 Jan 2021

      25/ Why would we go through this rigamarole? Why not deal with prices of options directly? Cuz options prices suck. They're hard to think about. Also, in trading we really care about *changes* in things, not levels. And change in option prices are *really* hard to think about.

      2 replies 0 retweets 13 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Agustin Lebron‏ @AgustinLebron3 5 Jan 2021

      26/ Options prices are all over the map. The $TSLA Mar 700 call costs ~$105. Say tomorrow it costs $100. Yes it went down 5% but that's not the most useful way to think about the change in *value* of the option.

      1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Agustin Lebron‏ @AgustinLebron3 5 Jan 2021

      27/ What if I want to compare TSLA options to NKLA options? Or Mar options to Jun options? Or the 700 call to the 750 call? There are too many parameters, it's just too complicated to get good intuitions about. Intuitions matter.

      1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Agustin Lebron‏ @AgustinLebron3 5 Jan 2021

      28/ The purpose of BS and BS_inv are to *renormalize* prices of options into a measuring stick that we *can* get some intuitions about. That's all "implied vol" is: a renormalization. Physicists rejoice!

      2 replies 0 retweets 18 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Adithia Kusno  ☦️ 🐂 🚀 💎 🙌 🎯‏ @AdithiaKusno 8 Mar 2021
      Replying to @AgustinLebron3

      One of the best explanation on IV. My goal is to write a book or two on econophysics: Standard Model of Derivatives Market and Quantum Finance. Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (European options) and Weiner-Bachelier (American) are similar to Lagrange and Hamilton-Jacobi conceptual approach.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    6. Adithia Kusno  ☦️ 🐂 🚀 💎 🙌 🎯‏ @AdithiaKusno 11 Mar 2021
      Replying to @AdithiaKusno @AgustinLebron3

      Out of curiosity, can you do a thread on Vanna/Charm and Dark Pool/OTC impact on Options? Great thread btw. Your approach to discuss it from intuitive perspective is amazing. I'm an intuitive person so it helps.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    7. Agustin Lebron‏ @AgustinLebron3 11 Mar 2021
      Replying to @AdithiaKusno

      Check out my Options 201 thread where I talk about Greeks.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Adithia Kusno  ☦️ 🐂 🚀 💎 🙌 🎯‏ @AdithiaKusno 11 Mar 2021
      Replying to @AgustinLebron3

      My bad just read. May I request a thread on the impact of Dark Pools and OTC on Options price? I keep seeing anomalies in my risk model that I assume could be caused by incomplete order flows data due to hidden Dark Pools and OTC flows. Any reading recommendations on those topic?

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    9. Agustin Lebron‏ @AgustinLebron3 11 Mar 2021
      Replying to @AdithiaKusno

      Well, the thing that's hard about that is... that it's dark. :) I don't know that I have much that's useful to say on that subject, esp for a mostly retail audience. @bennpeifert @Ksidiii @macrocephalopod @therobotjames @salr_nyc any help?

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    10. Agustin Lebron‏ @AgustinLebron3 11 Mar 2021
      Replying to @AgustinLebron3 @AdithiaKusno and

      @KrisAbdelmessih too

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 11 Mar 2021
      Replying to @AgustinLebron3 @AdithiaKusno and

      Just commenting to say that I’ve seen this and I don’t have anything of value to add 🤷‍♀️

      11:58 AM - 11 Mar 2021
      • 10 Likes
      • Salvatore Rubino Well-anchored Inflation Ruffian Robot James 🤖🏖 Agustin Lebron David Szonyi Kris Hau Volatility
      3 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Kris Sidial‏ @Ksidiii 11 Mar 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod @AgustinLebron3 and

          I’m not sure if there’s any papers on it....(or maybe I’m not aware) I feel like everything in that respect was learned directly on the desk (for me at least)

          1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
        3. Agustin Lebron‏ @AgustinLebron3 11 Mar 2021
          Replying to @Ksidiii @macrocephalopod and

          Yeah, I've seen papers where academics have gotten access to darkpool data and shown a few things, but nothing interesting enough that it stuck in my mind.

          0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Kris‏ @KrisAbdelmessih 11 Mar 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod @AgustinLebron3 and

          Just one counterintuitive idea why option quotes can be tighter OTC: The bank doesn't have to worry about the algos messing up their delta hedge when the print goes up on live option facilitations. Bank can work out of risk without racing

          5 replies 0 retweets 12 likes
        3. Salvatore Rubino‏ @salr_nyc 11 Mar 2021
          Replying to @KrisAbdelmessih @macrocephalopod and

          Right, makes sense. It always took more time/skill to work a live options order while doing the cash or futures hedge (quoting premium) vs OTC where one just quotes vol and works out the dets later (in FX)

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Robot James  🤖 🏖‏ @therobotjames 11 Mar 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod @AgustinLebron3 and

          ☝️I feel like 90% of fintwit should just be this message. (Me too BTW - but loving the thread 🍿)

          0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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