This is a weirdly common misreading of Mandelbrot. His main contribution was noting three properties of markets that are not well captured by Brownian motion models — 1. fat tails 2. heteroskedasticity 3. long-range correlations (eg power law decay in acf of absolute returns)https://twitter.com/desgrippes/status/1368389916812533768 …
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have read “fooled by randomness” or “the black swan” once and largely failed to understand them
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I feel like
@EmanuelDerman would have a much better take on this than I do!Show this thread
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extreme volatility is more likely during times of volatility is a useful Mandelbrot gem, imo
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He also set Taleb loose on the world.
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