The first question I’d ask is “are we actually seeing a surprising number of intraday reversals?” — it definitely feels like we are but I’d want to see some stats on that to see if there’s actually anything to explain or whether this could just be seeing patterns in noise.
The points I disagree with — that you could have five HFTs all front-running the same passive order in full size and all selling to it, obviously that can’t happen (you can’t sell more than they want to buy) so there is a limit to how much the move can be magnified,
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and in any case this would just add a small amount of temporary market impact (maybe a bp or so) to the passive order, it would not be responsible for big (tens or hundreds of bps) market moves or persist for long periods of time.
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I agree but you miss my point. If X needs to buy A at any price(passive), Y(HFT) can buy A and sell A to Z(HFT) before Z sells A to X at ever higher prices. Repeat this process over the course of the day and all of a sudden a few bases points adds up to a few percent.
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It’s become a bit of a dirty word in the HFT space but it’s called ‘low latency trading’
End of conversation
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Basis not bases
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