Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
macrocephalopod's profile
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
@macrocephalopod

Tweets

macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

Tweets

  • © 2022 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 28 Feb 2021

      Many people are obsessed with understanding George Soros’s “investment philosophy” which is actually very simple, here I will break it down for you.

      4 replies 9 retweets 98 likes
      Show this thread
    2. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 28 Feb 2021

      1. The most important thing to understand about Soros is that what he *wanted* was to be a philosopher but what he was *good at* was trading which led him to write several books disguising his ideas about trading with pseudo-philosophical bullshit (eg “reflexivity”)

      1 reply 0 retweets 54 likes
      Show this thread
    3. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 28 Feb 2021

      2. His trading can be mostly summed up as “get involved in trends”, “stop being involved when the trend has ended and they are obviously over/undervalued”, and “have an insane risk tolerance but good risk management”.

      2 replies 1 retweet 64 likes
      Show this thread
    4. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 28 Feb 2021

      3. This worked out great for him because he was active at a time when markets were really inefficient and trend following worked really well. It probably won’t work any more (eg see Druckenmiller’s recent performance)

      4 replies 0 retweets 62 likes
      Show this thread
    5. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 28 Feb 2021

      That’s it, the end.

      8 replies 0 retweets 45 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Freak0naut‏ @FREAK0NAUT 28 Feb 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod

      1) reflexivity is the single most important idea necessary for financial markets to make any sense and mainstream economics adopted it subsequent to Soros publishing. 2) all the market does now is trend, have you seen /es ?

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Freak0naut‏ @FREAK0NAUT 28 Feb 2021
      Replying to @FREAK0NAUT @macrocephalopod

      Look at GME, AMC or TSLA, look at Bear or Lehman. The perception of a company even when initially wrong can cause it's premise to come into being. The meme supply creates it's own demand

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 28 Feb 2021
      Replying to @FREAK0NAUT

      I, too, can cherry pick recent examples where this style of investing worked.

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 28 Feb 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @FREAK0NAUT

      GME is in fact the *worst* example you could have picked because tons of people got burned trying to short it at $60 on fundamentals, buying it at $200 on momentum, or shorting it again on the way down (fundamentals *and* momentum)

      12:04 PM - 28 Feb 2021
      • 3 Likes
      • Well-anchored Inflation Ruffian wine dark sea OlympusQuant
      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Freak0naut‏ @FREAK0NAUT 28 Feb 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod

          I certainly don't understand why GME would be a bad example. An EMH disciple would say that for every new speculative long that comes in, there should be a new short and the value of the firm should not increase at all, certainly not for a time period exceeding a month.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. John Maynard Gains‏ @J_MaynardGains 1 Mar 2021
          Replying to @FREAK0NAUT @macrocephalopod

          don't think its a good example because iirc soros himself subsequently clarified reflexivity goes beyond 'biases are reflected in price and can self-fulfill' which is obvious

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2022 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Cookies
        • Ads info