sell for a profit (at the higher-than-NAV price). The AP activity (buying VIX futs, selling UVXY) pushes up the prices of VIX futures and pushes down the price of UVXY but because UVXY started off at a premium, the net effect is that the prices of both VIX futures and
@Ksidiii can you explain what you mean by a “matched book”? You mean a book where each UVXY share held long or short by APs is offset with the matching amount of VIX futures?
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If you don't mind explaining, I thought the XIV blowup of 2018 was because weight of retail buying (at its peak XIV and SVXY were 4b in AUM) had caused the beta of the VIX to morph relative to the SPX. Hence a 4% drop in S&P caused a 20x spike. Why wouldn't the reverse be true?
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The XIV blowup was self-reinforcing. Vol had been compressed by huge interest in vol selling (high AUM in inverse VIX ETNs) so a small absolute increase in VIX represented a large % in crease, which meant a large loss for XIV. It was then compounded because XIV was looking at
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