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macrocephalopod's profile
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
@macrocephalopod

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macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

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    1. Girolamo Carlo Casio‏ @INArteCarloDoss 11 Feb 2021

      $TSLA am not an expert on shorting stocks, just your average Joe with a Casio calculator. But for the 1st time ever, the time looks ripe for a short. Let me elaborate. To start, if you read my previous post, it established a troubling fact pattern that is a good premise. (1/N)

      109 replies 275 retweets 1,544 likes
      Show this thread
    2. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 11 Feb 2021
      Replying to @INArteCarloDoss

      Help me understand the passive selling argument. If Tesla share price falls it will have a lower weight in the index, but it falls as a proportion of existing passive fund holdings as well, in exactly the right proportions ... so why would they need to sell?

      9 replies 1 retweet 23 likes
    3. Francko‏ @frankonomic 11 Feb 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod

      You’re assuming the fund’s volume remains constant. In reality there are flows to the passive funds. If one stock in the fund drops significantly, the fund buys less of this stock, reducing demand and increasing the weight of the sellers. Price drops further and loop continues.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 11 Feb 2021
      Replying to @frankonomic

      The fund buys the same proportion of outstanding shares regardless of whether the price has gone up or down.

      2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
    5. Stonks-R-Us‏ @whirlybard 12 Feb 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @frankonomic

      As the price falls, the same fund inflows result in less and less buying in $ value, and the price only needs to fall relative to the index for this effect. I expect Mike has the details in his white papers.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 12 Feb 2021
      Replying to @whirlybard @frankonomic

      Yes, and as I said in the tweet you are replying to, the fund will buy the same percentage of free float of every stock in the index, it won’t buy a smaller percentage of the ones that fell in price. 1/2

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 12 Feb 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @whirlybard @frankonomic

      Are you claiming that larger $ buying on its own leads to more price impact? If so, why isn’t the price of Apple shares (6.5% weight) constantly being pushed up 6500x more than Under Armour shares (0.01% weight)?

      1:32 PM - 12 Feb 2021
      • 2 Likes
      • jamis magicΞons
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        1. Stonks-R-Us‏ @whirlybard 12 Feb 2021
          Replying to @macrocephalopod @frankonomic

          6.5/.01 = 650, and yes that is ratio of ETF inflows to those names. $TSLA is 1.7% of $SPY. Every $1M into the ETF results in $17k into TSLA. If TSLA falls 50%, then the same inflow will result in $8.5k of TSLA buying, half as much as before. As price⬇️, passive buying⬇️.

          4 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        2. Girolamo Carlo Casio‏ @INArteCarloDoss 12 Feb 2021
          Replying to @whirlybard @macrocephalopod @frankonomic

          Thank fucking god someone knows how to use a fucking Casio

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
          3. End of conversation

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