This is a really interesting question, and of massive practical importance if you are managing systematic strategies. To generalize a bit -- someone tells you they have a strategy with a Sharpe of S. What questions should you be asking about the strategy to verify that it's real?https://twitter.com/o_wutang/status/1359686542466445312 …
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It’s hard to find a single signal that has a backtest Sharpe of 3 and true Sharpe of 0 (unless there is some structural reason that the effect disappeared) so this kind of extreme overfitting (3 -> 0) tends to come from combining many weak signals into something that looks good
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Okay cool, makes sense. I kind figured that but everyone leveling up on their stats/greeks/etc. nowadays and I want to make sure I'm keeping up
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phew, was worried for a second there you were implying something about covariances interacting on the standard deviation in the denominator or idk even for the returns on top
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No I am way too dumb for that
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