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macrocephalopod's profile
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
@macrocephalopod

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macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

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    2. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 10 Feb 2021
      Replying to @CautionPesimism @nope_its_lily

      BTC holdings are ~68% of balance sheet, ~34% of market cap, and MSTR is 0% of SPX

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Lily.wav‏ @nope_its_lily 10 Feb 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @CautionPesimism

      Sure, but BTC is down 4% today and MSTR is down 21% today.

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    4. Lily.wav‏ @nope_its_lily 10 Feb 2021
      Replying to @nope_its_lily @macrocephalopod @CautionPesimism

      Again it's way too new on Tesla to even make a correlation trend, but it wouldn't be farfetched to assume that investors on meme stocks react strongly to hints of a BTC drop.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    5. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 10 Feb 2021
      Replying to @nope_its_lily @CautionPesimism

      I would definitely look for interesting BTC/MSTR pair trades!

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Lily.wav‏ @nope_its_lily 10 Feb 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @CautionPesimism

      I think @coloradotravis tried shorting MSTR a while ago.

      3 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
    7. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 10 Feb 2021
      Replying to @nope_its_lily @CautionPesimism @coloradotravis

      My point is that this is such a tiny fraction of SPX that it still won't matter. If we say that the BTC portion of TSLA balance sheet trades like BTC but with 10x the vol due to some meme leverage effect, it would increase SPX volatility from ... 20% to 20.01%

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Lily.wav‏ @nope_its_lily 10 Feb 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @CautionPesimism @coloradotravis

      Definitely not disputing your math here. I didn't run any calcs, I just made inferences about what *could* happen.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 10 Feb 2021
      Replying to @nope_its_lily @CautionPesimism @coloradotravis

      ~*~ ✨m * a * t * h * !✨ ~*~

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Lily.wav‏ @nope_its_lily 10 Feb 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @CautionPesimism @coloradotravis

      did you factor in the Elon Musk Risk Premium (EMRP) which means times it by 1000x.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 10 Feb 2021
      Replying to @nope_its_lily @CautionPesimism @coloradotravis

      I did not! In that case I expect SPX vol to immediately go to 72%, brb buying options

      8:29 AM - 10 Feb 2021
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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