This is 110% correct. Things that seem compelling in the discovery phase can take a year or more of detailed and careful work to get to production-ready and have a 5% chance of making it through that process.https://twitter.com/WayneHimelsein/status/1358805330616934403 …
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Often not a coincidence — eg someone is using a signal, notices it stops working so they are willing to talk about it, word gets around and eventually you hear about it (or something closely related) and start research, by the time you are done it is clear it no longer works
.... it’s happened to me more times than I would like to admit.
Ideas that someone tells you about (or that are sparked by a conversation on a related subject) are less likely to be fruitful than ideas that are completely sui generis for this reason.
