I would first try to see*if* NOPE works, then after the *if,* move to the (crucial) *why* it works. I guess, in general, mean reverting phenomena can be "noped," right?
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Replying to @QuantVol
I mean, we have evidence both private and public it seems to work, at least recently, on SPY. I also wrote an article about constructing it as a proof by contradiction. Even if it isn't tradeable (seems unlikely) it has to exist if my argument is correct.https://nope-its-lily.medium.com/options-degenerate-marketplaces-part-1-b0ddf1c96fa6 …
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Replying to @nope_its_lily
I mean, can you derive nope's formula in a model? (a framework in which there are equilibrium conditions, you know, certain axioms, agents optimizing, market clearing condition, etc). It is clear that you have some intuition for why it works (and you clearly believe it works)
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Replying to @QuantVol
I mean. I wrote about the toy model where it comes from in that article. So... yes? It has to work for the reasons I elaborated yesterday on.
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Replying to @QuantVol
It arises from the understanding that dynamic replication of the options position isn't actually possible perfectly in a finite liquidity environment. Does it mean that the NOPE is the perfect formula to measure it or the effect is tradeable? No. Does it assuming the logic
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Replying to @nope_its_lily
So nope measures a "liquidity" factor? In other words, if markets were fully "liquid" (elusive concept but whatever), NOPE would be constant and (I guess) 0? If this is all about liquidity, what's the difference with https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/374184 … ?
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Replying to @QuantVol
NOPE measures the impact of delta hedging on available liquidity.
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