why not just rebalance for the realized /ES delta without worrying about where SPY will open
This isn’t a joke. The candidates are... EURUSD spot? TY futures? We are talking about the 3-4 most liquid markets in the world, even outside normal US market hours.
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do you think that SPX futures measured at 3am have lower, the same, or higher volatility than spy measured close to close?
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It’s not obviously higher! There are massive distortions around the close (and futures settlement) from market-on-close orders.
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