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macrocephalopod's profile
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
@macrocephalopod

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macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

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    1. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 2 Feb 2021

      Even more interestingly, if you are not just a risk manager but a quant equity pm, you can take expectations and get a model for the expected return (or alpha) of each stock in terms of the expected returns on each factor --pic.twitter.com/JflXE3Qj8V

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
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    2. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 2 Feb 2021

      If you're doing this you would normally treat some factors as "risk" factors which have zero expectation (i.e. you want to hedge them to minimise risk) and some factors as "alpha" factors which have positive expectation, as well as risk --

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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    3. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 2 Feb 2021

      you want exposure to the alpha factors, but you want *more* exposure to the ones which have higher expected return given the risk, and your factor model gives you a structured way to express that.

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
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    4. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 2 Feb 2021

      The vector of alphas, and the stock covariance matrix, are the key inputs to a portfolio optimizer (along with transaction costs, financing costs, position and turnover constraints, risk constraints etc). One particularly important fact is that portfolio optimizers are

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
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    5. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 2 Feb 2021

      known to behave *really* badly (recommending nonsense portfolios) when there is noise in the covariance matrix. You get noise when you try to estimate too many parameters from too little data, so using a factor model to reduce the number of parameters to estimate

      2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
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    6. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 2 Feb 2021

      is a critical step to take before you even consider using a portfolio optimizer (or some other method of reducing noise, but a factor model is the most common).

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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    7. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 2 Feb 2021

      Lots of directions to take this but I think that's enough for now. There are many others who know a lot about this -- let me know if I missed anything important @choffstein @alphaarchitect @CliffordAsness?

      4 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
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    9. Corey Hoffstein  🏴‍☠️‏Verified account @choffstein 2 Feb 2021
      Replying to @mediocrequant @macrocephalopod and

      The Barra crowding effect

      3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
    10. This Tweet is unavailable.
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 2 Feb 2021
      Replying to @mediocrequant @choffstein and

      One thing I don't know the answer to but would like to check -- were "momentum crashes" a thing before momentum became widely used as a factor?

      3:30 PM - 2 Feb 2021
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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