maybe that works, i am just a sub-scale nobody hustler but, from what successful peers tell me, for big money like FoF, you get really penalized by outliers from allocators
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Replying to @NewRiverInvest
True they don’t like an outlier — but there’s a spectrum. Worst kind of outlier is to lose money when the market is also down big (Mar 2020). Second worst is to lose at the same time as other funds (Jan 2021 to some extent but by no means all funds).
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Replying to @macrocephalopod @NewRiverInvest
Losing money in a totally idiosyncratic way can actually be looked on favourably by smart allocators, because it’s diversifiable and the existence of the drawdown proves the existence of the risk premium the fund is trying to capture.
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Replying to @macrocephalopod
too many people that claim to (and) do different things lost money on the same month though.
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Replying to @NewRiverInvest
In Mar 2020 yes. Is that true in Jan 2021? As far as I can see the biggest losers are all long/short funds with big portfolio overlap.
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Replying to @macrocephalopod @NewRiverInvest
I expected, and prepared for, contagion into other strategies like quant equity, global macro, fixed income RV, various arb strategies - but that hasn’t happened (yet)
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Replying to @NewRiverInvest @macrocephalopod
almost everyone except unlevered asset class RV and some RP and some GM had a horrible period last 12m. its been a meat grinder for anyone with leverage. heart attack EKG p&l
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Replying to @NewRiverInvest
Which systematic factor was brutal... stuff I’m seeing is up this month (although stuff like momentum, value, quality etc are things we hedge, not sources of alpha, maybe that makes a difference)
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Replying to @macrocephalopod
pure alpha types in my estimation. i could be wrong, i have no intel just naive models, but i usually am close
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will be interesting to see - unlike AQR or RIEF I don’t have any good intuition for what Pure Alpha are doing!
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