Lily you are talking like market moves have deterministic and identifiable causes. Most of the time you **can't** tell what moved stocks, especially in the short term. If you could then trading would be easy.
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Replying to @macrocephalopod @nope_its_lily
Let me throw out some things -- 1. it's totally consistent to say that HFs degrossed *yesterday* around the close and cause the market to drop, and the market is up because they are no longer degrossing.
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Replying to @macrocephalopod @nope_its_lily
(I don't believe that but it's consistent)
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Replying to @macrocephalopod @nope_its_lily
2. the degrossing story on its own is obviously not responsible, because degrossing involves buying and selling the same amount of stock -- it wouldn't move the market in net!
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Replying to @macrocephalopod @nope_its_lily
You would need *denetting* (i.e. HFs or whoever else) trying to get less long the market in order to cause a big sell off. We saw some of this yesterday but likely not enough to move the market.
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Easy narratives are rarely true, but the solution isn't necessarily to invent your own easy narratives ;)
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