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macrocephalopod's profile
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
macrocephalopod
@macrocephalopod

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macrocephalopod

@macrocephalopod

Paul Allen, Vice President M&A, Pierce & Pierce (Sie/Hir) | Vegan | Silence is Violence | Women’s Rights Are Human Rights | ACAB (Assigned Cephalopod At Birth)

Joined December 2020

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    1. Quantian‏ @quantian1 21 Jan 2021

      Quantian Retweeted

      This is your brain on the CFA: https://twitter.com/ValuentumBrian/status/1352522809810018305 …

      Quantian added,

      This Tweet is unavailable.
      5 replies 1 retweet 82 likes
    2. Skeletor‏ @SkeleCap 21 Jan 2021
      Replying to @quantian1

      Lmao Jesus Christ where do they find these people.

      2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
    3. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 22 Jan 2021
      Replying to @SkeleCap @quantian1

      I mean the formula is fine, it’s mostly the use of 4% as the long term discount rate.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Skeletor‏ @SkeleCap 22 Jan 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @quantian1

      Well except it’s very Real Money Peon

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 22 Jan 2021
      Replying to @SkeleCap @quantian1

      The real problem with using this formula is that if you plug in some vaguely reasonable inputs you get infinity or a negative number out.

      3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 22 Jan 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @SkeleCap @quantian1

      The whole question is basically the equity risk premium puzzle restated. SPX offers a stream of dividends that grow at inflation plus a bit, so why does it trade at such a low multiple?

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Skeletor‏ @SkeleCap 22 Jan 2021
      Replying to @macrocephalopod @quantian1

      I continue to contend his fatal error in framing was to make this a direct obligation of the UST.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      macrocephalopod‏ @macrocephalopod 22 Jan 2021
      Replying to @SkeleCap @quantian1

      I can see why this breaks people’s brains. When you’re used to reasoning with arbitrage arguments, using market segmentation + limits to arbitrage is hard.

      12:13 AM - 22 Jan 2021
      • 1 Like
      • Roger Filmyer
      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like

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