I see, I though your answer was the dem senate. Ok, that's a plausible story (i.e., well constructed QED with reverse-engineering logic)
-
do it heuristically with price action around the event, don't estimate anything
I mean, what if there are other contemporaneous events? It’s not like dems winning the senate was something that happened instantaneously.
-
-
make a tighter window around the announcement this is the only exercise I can think of (or you could construct a political news index and then estimate), which is better than "looking for the price action that confirm my hunch"
-
Yeah I get what you are saying. My only point is that there was no “announcement” that the dems won the senate so you can’t tighten the window. Ppl became more confident that they had won as the count went on. By the time it was official, everyone already knew, so no px impact.
- Show replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.