One of my PhD classmates told me he made a grand off my reversion calls on twitter. This is how you make friends in 2021.
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uh... if it works 55% of the time, you can be a trillionare...
Depends on win/loss per trade. Many momentum strategies can make money with only a 35-40% win rate because the winners make so much. Reversion strategies the opposite - you need the win rate to be well above 50% to break even.
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obviously strategy has to have positive expected value. but that is question of how you structure the trade not her ability to forecast for example, lily has been trading this using long gamma. and if nope doesn't generate an exit signal, it would effectively become momentum
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My understanding of the signal is that it's net delta of open option positions. So the indicator will normally generate an exit signal as the market reverts.
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