Skip to content
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • Moments Moments Moments, current page.

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
lymanstoneky's profile
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬
Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬
@lymanstoneky

Tweets

Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬

@lymanstoneky

石來民 Lutheran. Husband. Dad. Kentuckian. Demographer. @DemographicNTEL @FamStudies @AEI @NovakFellows . lymanrstone at gmail dot com

KY-DC-HK-QC
demographicintel.com
Joined July 2012

Tweets

  • © 2021 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

      Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬 Retweeted Adam Ozimek

      Hey @tylercowen how many mentions do I have to get in the convos before I get invited?https://twitter.com/ModeledBehavior/status/1303688856978567169 …

      Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬 added,

      Adam Ozimek @ModeledBehavior
      Me too, praise to @lymanstoneky! "My thinking evolved a lot when Lyman Stone and others pointed out that people were saying in America that they still wanted to have the classic 2.5 kids on average, and they just weren’t." https://medium.com/conversations-with-tyler/matt-yglesias-tyler-cowen-economics-one-million-americans-e5d298329048 …
      6 replies 2 retweets 77 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

      My only beef with @mattyglesias comments, and perhaps a resolution with @tylercowen 's scale question, is about Tokyo: Tokyo is big *because* Japan is declining. Same with Sofia, Bulgaria, or Tblisi, Georgia.

      2 replies 3 retweets 24 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

      When national population declines, population in many localities declines necessarily. As this occurs, many localities become economically unsustainable. @ModeledBehavior has excellent work on this: declining population snowballs and eventually local government services fail.

      2 replies 7 retweets 30 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

      YOU WOULD THINK as population falls in e.g. Eastern Kentucky, limited government services provided to fewer people would lead to better service quality. NOPE. The opposite. Service quality falls.

      5 replies 4 retweets 23 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

      Ultimately, societies "triage." They cut off declining places. And people sense this and cluster in places which will survive. There's nice research from Colombia and Venezuela showing more violence leads to intense urban clustering, for example.

      4 replies 3 retweets 25 likes
      Show this thread
      Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

      Or consider The Walking Dead. Everybody knows that when the world is dangerous YOU CLUSTER IN HIGH DENSITY WALLED COMMUNITIES.

      6:54 AM - 9 Sep 2020
      • 23 Likes
      • Jacob T. Levy Skadi Dr. Anthony Burnetti Tim J 🏘️🌃🚲 Jesse Carr Hermann Luke Juday Patrick T. Brown Geoffrey Ogden
      1 reply 0 retweets 23 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

          So in *almost every declining population region*, the locale primate city actually has MUCH STRONGER population growth than hinterlands, despite often having lower birth rates, due to local migration dynamics.

          1 reply 1 retweet 18 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

          In other words, one of the reasons Tokyo and other Japanese megacities are booming is that more and more communities in Japan are becoming social, political, and economic husks as their population falls below sustainable levels.

          2 replies 3 retweets 20 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

          I haven't written a paper on this yet but I am scheduled to do something about it for AEI sometime in the next 365 days. So, stay tuned!

          3 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

          In terms of disagreements with @tylercowen , his question about dysgenic fertility is important but I think easily resolvable. While the marginal baby may be born to poor families, gaps between realizations and ideals are higher among rich people: pent up demand is not poor!

          2 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

          But BEYOND THAT: the whole heuristic is wrong. Yes, parental inheritance is significant... .... but the VAST MAJORITY of kids born in the bottom fifth of America escape it.

          3 replies 1 retweet 9 likes
          Show this thread
        7. Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

          Is economic mobility as high as we'd like? No. But it's plenty high enough that churn is more than high enough to need to worry about a multi-generational dumbing-down effect or something like that.

          3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
          Show this thread
        8. Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

          And if we adopt pro-natal policies that are also opportunity-enhancing, like child allowances or something, then we kill two birds with one stone.

          1 reply 1 retweet 14 likes
          Show this thread
        9. Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

          Where I strongly agree with @tylercowen and @mattyglesias is people should become more religious and guys you can totally just start going to church, Immanuel Lutheran in Alexandria is a swell place! (in fairness I dunno if you may already go somewhere, Tyler)

          3 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
          Show this thread
        10. Lyman Stone 石來民  🦬 🦬 🦬‏ @lymanstoneky 9 Sep 2020

          One last note: a nice "hint" about why small states are often better-governed, which I agree with @tylercowen about, is the confluence of a Hayekian knowledge problem with the scale of representative bodies. I outline a US solution here:https://mereorthodoxy.com/congressional-apportionment-amendment/ …

          1 reply 3 retweets 9 likes
          Show this thread
        11. End of conversation

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2021 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Cookies
        • Ads info