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Profil korisnika/ce lymanstoneky
Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民
Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民
Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民
@lymanstoneky

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Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民

@lymanstoneky

石來民 Lutheran. Husband. Kentuckian. Economist #PackTheHouse. 1 Billion Americans or bust. @DemographicNTEL @FDRLST @FamStudies @AEI lymanrstone at gmail dot com

Hong Kong
demographicintel.com
Vrijeme pridruživanja: srpanj 2012.

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    1. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
      • Prijavi Tweet

      But it's clearly the case that that may not be an error! If they were born in the post-reform period but their parents had only been resident in Germany for 2 years, they wouldn't be a natural-born citizen even under the reform! #NBERday

      1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 0 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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    2. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
      • Prijavi Tweet

      This matters. Their *theoretical* explanation for their findings is that girls getting citizenship and the "temptation of integration" leads Muslim parents to crack down and reinforce their ethnic/religious identity. #NBERday

      1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 0 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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    3. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
      • Prijavi Tweet

      But this doesn't really apply if the girl didn't *actually receive* citizenship! In this case, I actually don't think *any* error correction is reasonable, since what matters is how the family *perceives* citizenship status. #NBERday

      1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 1 korisnik označava da mu se sviđa
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    4. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
      • Prijavi Tweet

      As I read it, they have measured an intention to treat effect, but then have interpreted it as a treatment effect. They literally call it a treatment effect in the paper, but.... I don't think that's right? #NBERday

      1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 0 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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    5. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
      • Prijavi Tweet

      The only way it's a treatment is ecologically, but given the 15 year time delay here I don't think that's very plausible. #NBERday

      1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 0 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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    6. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
      • Prijavi Tweet

      So look. This study might be totally correct. But with a small-n producing results that contradict the entire rest of the literature and what looks like a misunderstanding of their own model and some data cleaning that doesn't sound quite right... I don't buy it. #NBERday

      1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 2 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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    7. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
      • Prijavi Tweet

      I'm open to being convinced, but I'm not sure they've even correctly identified the citizenship status of their survey respondents, let alone any of the estimated coefficients. #NBERday

      1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 0 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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    8. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
      • Prijavi Tweet

      Next up are two papers I'll share but not review in detail: Air pollution is very bad, it hurts people, and it especially hurts poor people and minorities. http://nber.org/papers/w26659  http://nber.org/papers/w26682  #NBERday

      1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 3 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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    9. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
      • Prijavi Tweet

      Basically, poor and minority areas have more pollution. But luckily the Clean Air Act has mitigated this somewhat. But there's more work to be done. #NBERday

      1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 1 korisnik označava da mu se sviđa
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    10. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
      • Prijavi Tweet

      Lastly: Q: What effects does E-Verify have on workers and immigrants? A: Employment falls for immigrants AND natives. #NBERday https://www.nber.org/papers/w26676 

      1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 5 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
      • Prijavi Tweet

      Basically, E-Verify is a costly regulation imposed at the point of hiring, so it really discourages firms from making hires except in considerable need. The impact on Hispanics was 3x the size of non-Hispanics, but both were considerable. #NBERday

      00:53 - 21. sij 2020.
      • 1 proslijeđeni Tweet
      • 5 oznaka „sviđa mi se”
      • @LegallyAbigail Jeff Bachtel Michael Kelsey Piper Allen B.
      1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 5 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
        1. Novi razgovor
        2. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
          • Prijavi Tweet

          But notably, they did NOT find any change in the estimated undocumented population, and they find that likely-undocumented people were MORE likely to report self-employment income! #NBERday

          1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 6 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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        3. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
          • Prijavi Tweet

          In other words, E-Verify reduced employment for all people, but most for undocumented people... but this didn't get them to "voluntarily deport." They just started their own businesses/did gray market work. #NBERday

          1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 3 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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        4. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
          • Prijavi Tweet

          Sidenote: is there a more American response imaginable to a government restricting your right to work than being like, "well okay then I'll just start my own business." #NBERday

          1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 11 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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        5. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
          • Prijavi Tweet

          Anyways, E-Verify is expensive and although it does reduce the employment-based appeal of illegal migration, it doesn't actually reduce the size of the undocumented population. And it also reduces employment among natives. #NBERday

          4 proslijeđena tweeta 2 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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        6. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
          • Prijavi Tweet

          Also, here's a picture of my baby seconds after she said, "Daddy, I and my cohort peers would benefit from a child allowance; furthermore, my lack of birthright citizenship in Hong Kong will not deter me from pursuing meaningful cultural integration." #NBERdaypic.twitter.com/nk4XZ3ac59

          0 proslijeđenih tweetova 26 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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        7. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
          • Prijavi Tweet

          Quick note: I missed two appendices on the abortion paper. They DO compare to a sample of other births: they look at women in their sample who just barely got an abortion, then did have a child later on. Turnaway women look worse, but the effect is insignificant. #NBERday

          1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 0 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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        8. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
          • Prijavi Tweet

          It's a small sample, and there's no reason to suppose those births were unintended, so it's not a pure comparison (which the authors correctly and clearly note). To me, finding statistically similar effects suggest this is really just a "had a baby" effect. #NBERday

          1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 1 korisnik označava da mu se sviđa
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        9. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
          • Prijavi Tweet

          The authors also show in the appendix that effects on women's financial distress varies by state. The increase in financial distress is ONLY OBSERVED among women living in states with *less generous* welfare. #NBERday

          1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 2 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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        10. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
          • Prijavi Tweet

          This to me makes their non-inclusion of transfer policies even more baffling. Their additional analyses clearly showed that the financial distress outcome was sensitive to the generosity of local transfer systems! #NBERday

          1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 2 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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        11. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
          • Prijavi Tweet

          So their exploratory analyses seem to show that turnaway women's experience is not statistically significantly different from a comparison group of women who had births, and the bad outcomes only occur in the absence of generous transfers. #NBERday

          1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 0 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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        12. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
          • Prijavi Tweet

          That being the case it seems obvious that the solution here is a child allowance and/or a baby bonus. They literally just showed us that these hardships are not unique to turnaways and that they can be effectively reduced through cash transfers like TANF! #NBERday

          1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 2 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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        13. Lyman Expand the House Stone, AKA 石來民‏ @lymanstoneky 21. sij
          • Prijavi Tweet

          HUZZAH! Landing on this kind of finding is kind of exciting. Yes those exploratory analyses are very small sample sizes and not perfect experiments, but they help show what we're looking at: Having kids is a big financial shock for everyone, esp. if unintended! #NBERday

          1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 1 korisnik označava da mu se sviđa
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