My latest : Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez overestimates Trump tax cuts’ contribution to national debt. bit.ly/3Yc4MMZ
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Louis Jacobson
@loujacobson
PolitiFact sr corresp; columnist-handicapper ; sr author Almanac of Am Politics; ; ex-RollCall, Nat Journ
Louis Jacobson’s Tweets
My latest w/ : Social media post's comparison of presidents’ classified records handling distorts their degree of cooperation with authorities.
bit.ly/3Hu1iye
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My latest : Joe Biden touts big joblessness drop, but pandemic programs skew key comparison. bit.ly/3JDmSTF
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My latest arts review for : "Arctic Ice: A Visual Archive," at the National Academy of Sciences. bit.ly/3kNmU0M
My latest : President Biden said that “one quarter” of today’s $31.4 trillion federal debt “was accumulated in the four years of my predecessor,” Donald Trump. Biden's right on the number, but this distinction isn't really that meaningful.
My latest w/ : Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, R-Pa., said, “Classified documents can never be taken out of a SCIF (sensitive compartmented information facility), ever.” That goes too far. Half True.
bit.ly/3WyRRTE
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My latest w/ : Joe Biden is halfway through his term. Here's how many campaign promises he's kept so far. bit.ly/3whtrTQ
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My latest : The debt limit fight: Why does it matter? How could it be resolved? Everything you need to know, from "minting the coin" to a "fig leaf" approach.
bit.ly/3kwK0Z9
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Good lineup!
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The Washington Press Club Foundation is pleased to announce Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock of Georgia and Republican Rep. Nancy Mace of South Carolina will be the headliners at the 77th Annual Congressional Dinner on February 8, 2023. See wpcf.org for ticket info
My latest : Is Kevin McCarthy right that GOP didn’t raise discretionary spending? It hinges on the metric used. bit.ly/3WobbCR
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Still, Kansas’ continuing Republican strength was clear in the party’s ability to maintain its legislative supermajorities, and in the 16,000-vote comeback victory for Kobach in the race for attorney general.
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Meanwhile, Rep. Sharice Davids, a lesbian Native American Democrat whose district was made more Republican in the GOP-drafted redistricting, was reelected with surprising ease, 55%-43%.
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Also going down to defeat, more narrowly, was an amendment that would have given the GOP-controlled Legislature a veto over executive branch regulations.
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Voters also retained all six Kansas Supreme Court justices by margins of at least 65 percent, including two who had ruled in 2019 that abortion was a “fundamental” right under the state constitution and three others who had been appointed by Kelly.
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Kelly held all but two of the nine counties she had won in 2018, losing only Crawford County (Pittsburg) and Harvey County (Newton) to Schmidt, while flipping one Kobach county, Geary County (Fort Riley).
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In 2022, Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly defeated Republican Derek Schmidt, 49.5%-47.3%, though that was a little less than half the margin of victory in her 2018 defeat of Kris Kobach.
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Periodically, I’ll share some nuggets I’ll be including in the forthcoming of American Politics, where I’m writing the 50 state overview chapters and the 50 gubernatorial profiles, more or less. Here's a portion of my upcoming Kansas chapters.
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And in most counties, DeJear ran a few points behind Democratic Senate candidate Mike Franken, the challenger to Sen. Chuck Grassley.
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Even in the counties Reynolds lost to DeJear, the incumbent ran 5 to 10 points ahead of her share 4 years earlier.
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Reynolds flipped six counties that her Democratic opponent, Fred Hubbell, had won in 2018, including Black Hawk (Cedar Falls and Waterloo), Dubuque, and Scott (Davenport).
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DeJear won only four counties, the populous Polk (Des Moines), Story (Ames), Linn (Cedar Rapids) and Johnson (Iowa City).
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The gubernatorial race was never close; Reynolds won, 58%-40%.
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In the general election, she faced Deidre DeJear, who had become the first Black candidate to win a major-party nomination for statewide office in Iowa, running unsuccessfully for secretary of state.
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Armed with Donald's Trump’s endorsement for a second term, Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds avoided a primary and scared off top-tier Democrats.
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Periodically, I’ll share some nuggets I’ll be including in the forthcoming of American Politics, where I’m writing the 50 state overview chapters and the 50 gubernatorial profiles, more or less. Here's a portion of my upcoming Iowa chapters.
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My latest : Joe Biden said, “Take home pay for workers is going up.” He has a point that wages have risen faster than inflation for the past two quarters. However, they have not yet climbed out of the inflation hole from his first six quarters. bit.ly/3kfVqk7
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My latest for the Biden Promise Tracker: As a candidate, Biden promised to end wars in Afghanistan and the Middle East. Afghanistan is over, but the U.S. is still involved to an extent in Yemen's civil war. We're keeping this at In the Works. bit.ly/2VrAzxE
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Legendary broadcaster Connie Chung to be honored on Feb 8 with the 2023 Lifetime Achievement Award at the 77th Annual Congressional Dinner hosted by the Washington Press Club Foundation. wpcf.org for more info #wpcf #conniechung
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My latest : House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries said on that a “default on our debt” would be unprecedented in American history. We say: Mostly True.
bit.ly/3vVRbN7
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Still, Sanders won easily statewide due to her strength in more rural areas.
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In fact, in Benton County, the raw number of Republican votes for governor rose by 5 percent between 2018 and 2022, while the number of Democratic votes in the county went up by a striking 48 percent.
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Jones, the Democrat, made substantial gains in fast-growing Benton County (the affluent corporate hubs of Bentonville and Rogers), cutting the GOP’s winning margin from 40 points to 26.
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In Pulaski County (Little Rock), the Democrats’ winning margin ballooned from 5 points in 2018 to 23 points in 2022, while in Washington County (Fayetteville and the University of Arkansas), Jones narrowly flipped a county that had backed Hutchinson in 2018 by 12 points.
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Sanders’ winning margin of 28 points was narrower than Hutchinson’s 33-point margin four years earlier.
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Sanders won all but seven counties, though with some interesting patterns under the surface.
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In Arkansas, Sarah Huckabee Sanders easily defeated the Democratic nominee for governor, nuclear engineer and minister Chris Jones, 63%-35%.
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Periodically, I’ll share some nuggets I’ll be including in the forthcoming of American Politics, where I’m writing the 50 state overview chapters and the 50 gubernatorial profiles, more or less. Here's a portion of my upcoming Arkansas chapters.
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My latest w/ : The Trump and Biden classified documents cases differ in key ways. Here’s how.
bit.ly/3k8IBaZ
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So sorry to hear this. Deepest condolences to his family and friends.
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I am so shocked and so sad to hear about the tragic death of Blake Hounshell (@NYTBlake @blakehounshell.) I met him in Cairo when I was 22, on the day I got my very first newspaper job. I was excited when he joined The Times and wish I’d spent more time hanging out with him here.
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(Correcting link) My latest : On his campaign website, Donald Trump touts one year’s decline in drug overdoses. The rate did go down in 2018, but it went up for his other three years in office. bit.ly/3Gm3sze
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My latest @PolitiFact: On his campaign website, Donald Trump touts one year’s decline in drug overdoses. The rate did go down in 2018, but it went up for his other three years in office.
bit.ly/3idymlt
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