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loganb's profile
Logan Bowers
Logan Bowers
Logan Bowers
@loganb

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Logan Bowers

@loganb

Former candidate in Seattle's 3rd Council District. Density Basilisk and walking urbanism checklist.

Seattle, WA, USA
Joined May 2007

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    1. stevemur‏ @stevemur May 25

      stevemur Retweeted Glenn Kelman

      Sounds very bubbley. Amazing what cheap debt (for now) and a pandemic can do. Interesting data points by @glennkelman.https://twitter.com/glennkelman/status/1397189637207121929 …

      stevemur added,

      Glenn Kelman @glennkelman
      1 of 15: It has been hard to convey, through anecdotes or data, how bizarre the U.S. housing market has become. For example, a Bethesda, Maryland homebuyer working with @Redfin included in her written offer a pledge to name her first-born child after the seller. She lost.
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    2. Logan Bowers‏ @loganb May 25
      Replying to @stevemur @glennkelman

      The difference this time around is that there isn’t a lot of overleverage and also demographically there’s a big boost of demand from Millennials. Calculated Risk Blog has posted demographic data over the years that shows this.

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
    3. Logan Bowers‏ @loganb May 25
      Replying to @loganb @stevemur @glennkelman

      Not that prices couldn’t go down, but it’s a highly relevant datum that this time around it’s looking more like society is systematically disenfranchising a generation by building too little housing overall.

      1 reply 8 retweets 16 likes
    4. Logan Bowers‏ @loganb May 25
      Replying to @loganb @stevemur @glennkelman

      Here’s one of the posts that describes the demographic trends, which affect the entire market all at once: https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2020/10/demographics-renting-vs-owning.html?m=1 …

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      Logan Bowers‏ @loganb May 25
      Replying to @loganb @stevemur @glennkelman

      Here’s an @delong post about the massive housing under-supply, even after the last bubble It’s a bit old, but things didn’t get better. We’re in trouble.pic.twitter.com/3JYww7gP7v

      9:24 AM - 25 May 2021 from Seattle, WA
      • 9 Retweets
      • 29 Likes
      • hellokalp Dominus Phaul NovaGN Bogdan BastardGuy Mask-carver cubs2016 eyefull Jorge Sabat David Jedlicka
      4 replies 9 retweets 29 likes
        1. stevemur‏ @stevemur May 25
          Replying to @loganb @glennkelman @delong

          Thanks @loganb — added to reading list

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. New conversation
        2. Alice Fulwood‏Verified account @alice_fulwood May 25
          Replying to @loganb @delong and

          It’s a bit disingenuous to say things didn’t get better…pic.twitter.com/Z1XbbsXcvc

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Logan Bowers‏ @loganb May 25
          Replying to @alice_fulwood @delong and

          If you squint, we’re back to trend without making up the deficit, and if you look at the population demographics (see other tweet), we’re likely still losing ground.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Valerie Curl‏ @valkayec May 25
          Replying to @loganb @delong and

          Curious. In most places I've lived the last 30 yrs, housing complexes/burbs ate up open land at an amazing rate, leaving little open land for anything from farming to nature parks. Yet, the nation is still out of adequate (& affordable) housing. What's the solution?

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Logan Bowers‏ @loganb May 25
          Replying to @valkayec @delong and

          Three things: 1) stagnation in the small towns and the rust belt means people are moving to cities, so even if population were flat, high demand cities would be booming while, say, Flint, MI have homes returning to the earth. 2) Population is still growing 1/

          2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Gus‏ @busgus May 25
          Replying to @loganb @delong and

          It took a surge a couple months back to get back to what was normal housing production 1993-2002 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=EgIP  https://twitter.com/busgus/status/1365355356998672386 …pic.twitter.com/Ovkgb8kP2j

          0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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