changing common knowledge could independently explain observations consistent with the Lucas critique/goodhart's law
like it's not just fudging a metric, it's that the whole "meta" (like in the game Hearthstone) has changed in a multiplayer system
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idea that 'myth' of randomness in markets is actually hiding complex systems I think is key.https://twitter.com/ultimape/status/753659170356862976 …
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(tweet links to a thread exploring the 'wrongness' of computer science thinking about ant colonies as random.)
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