remember when DARPA tried to sponsor a prediction market for terrorist attacks http://www.cnn.com/2003/ALLPOLITICS/07/29/terror.market/ …
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everybody got really upset for purity reasons but nobody seems to have thought through the incentives
Moral Hazards in Prediction Markets for Atrocities: Just A Game Theorist Laughing For Fifteen Straight Pages, With Illustrations
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@literalbanana to be fair: "Can futures markets be manipulated by adversaries?" does make an appearance. -
@allgebrah if by "manipulated by adversaries" they mean "cause adversaries to come into existence and start high-fiving each other" totally - 1 more reply
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