The set of "possible stories" is much larger than "true stories"
The set of "possible results of cooking" is much larger than "edible food" (sautéed bolts, wilted eyeglasses salad)
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the set "untrue stories" is larger than "true stories"–every permutation of a true story + whole cloth fabricationspic.twitter.com/CVzNvYtYco
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the average quality of untrue stories & true stories may be comparable but untrue stories has higher variance, so more great & awful
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"apparent veracity" as gatekeeping function, with success from "good story," incentivizes untrue stories to put on trenchcoats & fake noses
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and true stories that get adapted (e.g. accidentally in retelling or intentionally) to be false but better stories will have more success
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simplify motives, clearly assign each character to ingroup or outgroup, elide relevant information to eliminate complexity, add surprise
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@GabrielDuquette uncharted social territories -
@GabrielDuquette narrative logic seems to undercut probabilistic thinking
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@GabrielDuquette stories invoke 100% causation, 100% events happening, but in reality a strategy has to run over and over with variation -
@GabrielDuquette we have this idea that a story is "true" or "not true," hard to shade it with "stories like this are x% likely to be true"
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