fyi it was NOT a subtweet of this because note I sent mine first https://twitter.com/johnarnoldfndtn/status/1231707829087690753?s=21 …https://twitter.com/JohnArnoldFndtn/status/1231707829087690753 …
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fyi it was NOT a subtweet of this because note I sent mine first https://twitter.com/johnarnoldfndtn/status/1231707829087690753?s=21 …https://twitter.com/JohnArnoldFndtn/status/1231707829087690753 …
what evidence do you have that anybody actually forms beliefs on such a basis? I think people mostly form beliefs based on magical thinking, and then decorate them with survey results or lab results. It's a kind of performance art.
I’m asking about the beliefs - I don’t know what kind of answers I’m going to get yet, or I wouldn’t ask!
Do we have to hold these?
we bananas will accept any interesting answer that is responsive to at least a part of the question
Despite "meta" doubts, I love Richard Wiseman's idea that "luck" is really actually just "being good at noticing weird opportunities". I think my only reason-to-believe is that I heard the "lab story", the behavioral affordances seem harmless, and it is fun to repeat.
those are good reasons!
Humans can echolocate.
that’s a nice one!
“Happiness is correlated with log(wealth)” comes to mind although it’s support by surveys is largely a function of its phrasing such that it could only be answered by surveys
Furthermore it’s intended as a response to another interpretation of the same survey-based data, namely that income doesn’t matter after N dollars/year, with N in the range of $70-100k
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