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literalbanana's profile
Ordinary Banana
Ordinary Banana
Ordinary Banana
@literalbanana

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Ordinary Banana

@literalbanana

when the Simulators gave up pretending not to exist they uplifted the bananas first. contact official intern @snus_mumrikken for beef scheduling

Joined December 2015

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    1. Robert Wiblin‏ @robertwiblin May 25
      • Report Tweet

      Why say 'epistemic status' when you can just say 'confidence level'? Using plain English is morally laudable, by which I mean 'good'.

      14 replies 29 retweets 367 likes
    2. Isaac A Wagner‏ @IsaacAWagner May 25
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @robertwiblin

      'Confidence level' is a bayesian phrase, and not everyone is bayesian or wants to commit themselves to bayesianism when they make a claim about a belief's epistemic status.

      2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
    3. 𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫‏ @gwern May 26
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      Replying to @IsaacAWagner @robertwiblin

      Worse, it's a NHST phrase. (Bayesians don't have confidence intervals, they have credibility intervals.) And those only apply to specific quantitative parameters or variables, and don't really apply to the gestalt of overall essays or theories, and would be misleading to say so.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Robert Wiblin‏ @robertwiblin May 26
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @gwern @IsaacAWagner

      Confidence level =/= confidence interval. I mean it in the ordinary English sense of the term, e.g. Confidence level: I spent a whole week looking into this and am pretty sure it's right.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    5. José Luis Ricón (Artir)‏ @ArtirKel May 26
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      Replying to @robertwiblin @gwern @IsaacAWagner

      Among people who use 'epistemic status' (was it Muflax who came up with it?), I bet 'confidence level' brings to mind first the specific stats meaning, thus requiring another word

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    6. Robert Wiblin‏ @robertwiblin May 26
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      Replying to @ArtirKel @gwern @IsaacAWagner

      It looks like each 'confidence interval' has an associated 'confidence level' So a 95% CI has a 95% confidence level (prob that the value falls in the range). I agree that's not ideal. But we can surely come up with a better expression for public writing than Epistemic Status.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Ordinary Banana‏ @literalbanana May 26
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @robertwiblin @ArtirKel and

      aren’t there significant costs to changing idioms and policing speech though?

      6:06 PM - 26 May 2019
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. 𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫‏ @gwern May 26
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @literalbanana @robertwiblin and

          I always write instead 'statistically-significant' and simply avoid using 'significant' at all, which is comprehensible, a small change, and bars misunderstanding. (My lint script polices text for any uses.) A bit of work, but I am being the change I want to see in the world.

          1 reply 3 retweets 5 likes
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