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Hillary Clinton's voters were split among a number of different candidates, with Klobuchar getting the lion share (35%) and a lot also going to Buttigieg (22%). Some of her vote also went to Biden (15%), Warren (10%) and Sanders (9%).
An interesting thing are the nonvoters of 2016 who decided to vote this time. Buttigieg seems to be the big winner there, getting 47% of 2016 nonvoters that decided to vote. The rest were basically split between Klobuchar and Biden (25% each or so)
It's interesting to see that (similar to what we saw in Iowa -- I've attached the final Iowa sankey. Though note: these are SDEs not voters) it was Pete Buttigieg that probably did well with Clinton supporters and *some* Bernie Sanders voters.pic.twitter.com/SpMuoeZRct
Again, I want to reiterate these are estimates that come out of a mathematical model and are *NOT* real voters.
Are the non voters from the Dem 2016 Dem primary or overall? Just curious if the non voters are people who didn't participate or more centrists and willing to vote in either primary.
Death knell for the Sanders argument. He's not bringing nonvoters into the electorate whatsoever.
Not exactly. Those who voted in the NH in 2016 for Bernie, but sat out of the general election would be an interesting group to look at.
This is a strong electability argument for @PeteButtigieg, as one of the ways we beat Trump is to inspire the voters who'd previously stayed home.
Non voters from 2016 generally or non voters from 2016 that voted?
So much for the revolution.
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