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2. belief that null findings reflect something wrong with the study which serves as justification for reporting bias, and 3. lack of “exact” replication to establish that any given effect is robust for just those constrained stimuli 4/x
Overall, my takeaway from this paper is consistent with what I already have come to believe, which is that it requires 100-1000x more research investment than what we currently do to establish the kinds of generalized conclusions about humanity that we typically claim to make 5/x
Furthermore, the chance that any of us will discover a psychological phenomenon that is highly generalizable in this way is very low. I think we need to let go of this as an expectation for scientific contribution in the social sciences 6/x
If we were completely honest about the limitations of generalizability of our studies, it would quickly become apparent that we are all “applied” researchers in the sense of providing very constrained answers to very constrained questions. 7/x
I would kind of hope that data / info aggregation, and taking variance seriously (ie modelling), could make it within reasonable reach. But I may live in a statistical bubble...
Modelling *and* induced variation, I meant to say...
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