If Kennedy wants to be replaced by a clone, resigning with a Republican President and 48 or 49 Republicans in the Senate seems ideal. Will get a Republican moderate enough to win Manchin/Jones/etc. votes.
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I think that would be the motivation for making deal instead of holding seat open. But they would have to feel deal is worth making -- because, after Garland blockade (and Trumpism), it's possible dynamic has shifted & old assumptions about voter motivation might not hold
End of conversation
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