2/ "We estimated that in the baseline scenario, Chongqing, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, & Shenzhen had imported 461, 113, 98, 111, & 80 infections from Wuhan, respectively. If the transmissibility of #2019nCoV were similar everywhere domestically and over time,..."
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Is there, encoded in these daunting
#s, perhaps a silver lining, to whit: Ghis potentially means the fatality rate is significantly less? -
Fatality rate seems to be around 2% but people are hospitalized a long time, w/O2 support. 2%, BTW is higher than the Great Influenza Pandemic of 1918, which killed >50 million people in 18 mos. I don't say that to scare, but to remind that a tiny % of a tiny # is ok, but...
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The paper suggests countries to limit population mobility immediately, but
@WHO refuses to provide such measures. "To possibly succeed, substantial, even draconian measures that limit population mobility should be seriously and immediately considered in affected areas"Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Thanks for link. Conclusions on next steps are just ahead of where the CDC is as of today. I'd say the CDC is about 7 days behind what they know and what they are telling to public. Panic is building.
- Još 5 drugih odgovora
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How would that study be affected with 5 million already left Wuhan?
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
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