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laurabronner's profile
Laura Bronner
Laura Bronner
Laura Bronner
@laurabronner

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Laura Bronner

@laurabronner

Quantitative Editor, @FiveThirtyEight | PhD, @LSEGovernment | 🇦🇹 in 🇺🇸, via 🇬🇧 | she/her

New York, NY
laurabronner.com
Joined August 2015

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    Laura Bronner‏ @laurabronner May 20

    We've updated our pollster ratings! The error was pretty high overall, but that's because the race changed so fast -- the biggest errors were for SC and ST, and most of those polls were done before turning points. And otherwise, polls did fairly well. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/weve-updated-our-pollster-ratings-ahead-of-the-2020-general-election/ …pic.twitter.com/xuNufaU4oL

    7:25 AM - 20 May 2020
    • 3 Retweets
    • 14 Likes
    • MiRcea Sauciuc 😷 Shawn Minnix Polt andrea bronner Michael Stern GeneBarrySanders Joseph Ruiz Christopher Groskopf Chairman Miao (總裁貓)
    2 replies 3 retweets 14 likes
      1. Markypie • I guess the rule of law IS dead‏ @markylikespie May 20
        Replying to @laurabronner @FiveThirtyEight

        An average error of 7% is very good? That’s more than the margins that most of these polls are predicting. So going forward, if a poll shows Biden is up by <7%, it’s basically meaningless?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. day cheese‏ @daycheesedc May 20
        Replying to @laurabronner @FiveThirtyEight

        so in only 1 instance was the polling error less than 5%? 🧐😮

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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