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laurabronner's profile
Laura Bronner
Laura Bronner
Laura Bronner
@laurabronner

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Laura Bronner

@laurabronner

Quantitative Editor, @FiveThirtyEight | PhD, @LSEGovernment | 🇦🇹 in 🇺🇸, via 🇬🇧 | she/her

New York, NY
laurabronner.com
Joined August 2015

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    Laura Bronner‏ @laurabronner Mar 3

    *Huge* difference in vote share for Biden and Sanders in Vermont between those who decided in the last few days, and those who decided before that. The difference in Virginia is smaller, but still substantial. https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/super-tuesday/ …pic.twitter.com/eOpiJo0m4r

    4:23 PM - 3 Mar 2020
    • 10 Retweets
    • 29 Likes
    • Starlight Glimmer Did Nothing Wrong This Justin - Test. Trace. Isolate. Duh. jacob b protesting #PeoplesBudgetLA meredith conroy Drew Dimmery Lenny Bronner Guy Incognito Drew Stommes Poppa Kap ™
    9 replies 10 retweets 29 likes
      1. Laura Bronner‏ @laurabronner Mar 3

        Given the number of late deciders in states like Minnesota, Oklahoma and Massachusetts, that seems like pretty good news for Bidenpic.twitter.com/GjZCO7BW8L

        3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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      1. rheuminate‏ @londyloo Mar 3
        Replying to @laurabronner @FiveThirtyEight

        I mean the MN candidate dropped out yesterday...

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. This Justin - Test. Trace. Isolate. Duh.‏ @JRobbo Mar 3
        Replying to @laurabronner @FiveThirtyEight

        Difference in vote share, 2020 v. 2016?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Art Markham‏ @artmarkham Mar 3
        Replying to @laurabronner @FiveThirtyEight

        But it's the uncertain people who remain undecided - so in a neutral scenario you might expect an even split, regardless of what others decided earlier. On that measure, Virginia actually shows a bigger Biden resurgence.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Art Markham‏ @artmarkham Mar 3
        Replying to @artmarkham @laurabronner @FiveThirtyEight

        Or maybe that isn't how it works in practice. But I'm still not sure you'd expect the same percentage splits?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Tyler #BlackLivesMatter‏ @TStove7 Mar 3
        Replying to @laurabronner @FiveThirtyEight

        Can’t imagine there’s a whole lot of late deciders in Bernie’s home state that just couldn’t decide if they liked him or not.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Josh  🇱🇷 🌟 🌟 🌟‏ @JoshBunchOfNums Mar 3
        Replying to @laurabronner @FiveThirtyEight

        More evidence that Bernie is unable to expand his base

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Shawn Douglas‏ @writediteach Mar 3
        Replying to @laurabronner

        " ... or because they are just slightly more enthusiastic for another candidate." Completely anecdotal, but here in STL, my progressive female friends have been rooting hard for Warren.

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      1. David Bradford‏ @catchadave Mar 4
        Replying to @laurabronner

        Do you know where one can see the full Edison Research exit poll crosstabs? Trying to find them on their site but not having any luck.

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      1. this website is garbage‏ @burner1121 Mar 3
        Replying to @laurabronner @FiveThirtyEight

        Could it be that many late deciders already were against sanders, and just deciding between Biden Pete and Amy before they dropped out?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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