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laurabronner's profile
Laura Bronner
Laura Bronner
Laura Bronner
@laurabronner

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Laura Bronner

@laurabronner

Quantitative Editor, @FiveThirtyEight | PhD, @LSEGovernment | 🇦🇹 in 🇺🇸, via 🇬🇧 | she/her

New York, NY
laurabronner.com
Joined August 2015

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    1. Laura Bronner‏ @laurabronner Feb 6

      After reports of inconsistencies in Iowa vote totals, I'm wondering whether, given that a) transparency in reporting results (e.g. reporting results of all 3 types of counts in Iowa) makes errors more visible, but...https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/06/upshot/iowa-caucuses-errors-results.html …

      1 reply 1 retweet 8 likes
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    2. Laura Bronner‏ @laurabronner Feb 6

      b) transparency is generally good, both to bolster trust in process and because it allows for errors to be corrected, and c) errors are more likely with manual counting/paper ballots etc, but d) public errors undermine trust in the process, and...

      1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
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    3. Laura Bronner‏ @laurabronner Feb 6

      e) the election tech we have so far is bad and manual counting/paper ballots might still be the best way to do things... basically, the only way to square transparency & reliability in reporting with a slow and error-prone process is to not report results quickly.

      2 replies 2 retweets 7 likes
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      Laura Bronner‏ @laurabronner Feb 6

      In other words, if we can only have two out of [speed, reliability, transparency], it seems to me that it's much preferable to sacrifice speed than transparency or reliability. If it takes a week to validate results such that they can be reported, that seems worth it.

      8:49 AM - 6 Feb 2020
      • 6 Retweets
      • 32 Likes
      • Carolyn Cuykendall Matthew Krauss Jonathan Dunne DasherTweets Mark D McElwrath Jr. Adrianopler PBJ Kevin DeHaven Devin Nunes's illegitimate son,🛺 Detective Grimes
      5 replies 6 retweets 32 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Jon Mellon‏ @jon_mellon Feb 6
          Replying to @laurabronner

          Of the three speed seems the best one to give up. But slowness in reporting results can undermine confidence too, especially if it’s not clear what is delaying the release.

          2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. Laura Bronner‏ @laurabronner Feb 6
          Replying to @jon_mellon

          True. I was thinking more along the lines of a recalibration of expectations more generally, rather than an ad-hoc delay

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. 3 more replies
        1. Steve Reda‏ @shteivenreda Feb 6
          Replying to @laurabronner

          IDC will do you one better and pick “none of the above!”

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Mike30330  🏳️‍🌈‏ @mikepretzel Feb 6
          Replying to @laurabronner

          Voters say they value transparency and reliability over speed ...until they actually have to wait for results. Then all hell breaks loose.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. take money away from the police this isn't hard‏ @PotatoOfDestiny Feb 22
          Replying to @laurabronner

          not for nothing, but a scantron sheet is well understood and allows for automated counting with an unimpeachable paper backup

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Δustin K‏ @FueledByLux Feb 22
          Replying to @laurabronner

          Bad take

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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