We're partering with @Ipsos on a panel survey to ask Americans about impeachment as the process unfolds, and @ameliatd and I wrote about the first wave.
Our headline result: 56% think Trump has committed an impeachable offense.https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/most-americans-think-trump-committed-an-impeachable-offense/ …
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But as you'd expect, there are clear partisan differences. While almost 90% of Democrats think so, less than 20% of Republicans do.pic.twitter.com/gS8y7xORZB
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And there are big partisan differences on the facts, too. We asked about three key elements of the inquiry, and while most Americans agree that all three happened and that they’re inappropriate, there’s less consensus about whether they’re *impeachable offenses*.pic.twitter.com/cSHZlBEK9s
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And while most *Republicans* thought Trump had asked Ukraine to investigate the Bidens, most also didn't think that was inappropriate -- whereas most Republicans thought the quid pro quo and the cover-up were inappropriate, but also didn't think they happened.pic.twitter.com/tejLi1eSZd
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Democrats are slightly likelier than Republicans to be following the hearings closely...pic.twitter.com/NH1D0I2rSr
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...and while about a quarter of respondents said they were not that certain about their opinion about whether Trump had committed an impeachable offense, that group is also less likely to be following the hearings closely than the people who have already made up their minds.pic.twitter.com/mLu6d9WYlP
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With beautiful charts from @ryanabest and a lot of help from @sfrostenson, @CopyCurmudgeon and @bycoffe!
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