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laurabronner's profile
Laura Bronner
Laura Bronner
Laura Bronner
@laurabronner

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Laura Bronner

@laurabronner

Quantitative Editor, @FiveThirtyEight | PhD, @LSEGovernment | 🇦🇹 in 🇺🇸, via 🇬🇧 | she/her

New York, NY
laurabronner.com
Joined August 2015

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    Laura Bronner‏ @laurabronner 28 Jun 2019

    The post-debate panel is in! Lots of exciting stuff here, but the most striking is a drastic drop in Biden's support in our panel -- 10 percentage points! -- and a huge increase for Harris. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/democratic-debate-poll/ …pic.twitter.com/sI818AD5nU

    12:23 PM - 28 Jun 2019
    • 26 Retweets
    • 83 Likes
    • Lukáš Pelc Disgruntled Sheryl Ben Stukenborg Vašek Vislous chloefortexas Pablo Borquez JeremyS Christel Thalmeier (Pseudonym)#plättenstattflatten stan john brown
    9 replies 26 retweets 83 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Laura Bronner‏ @laurabronner 28 Jun 2019

        Here are the support numbers at a glance. I should add that these are only among people who responded to all three waves, so it may well be that respondents whose candidates did poorly just didn't respond to later waves. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/democratic-debate-poll/ …pic.twitter.com/IuCQtyFbTw

        1 reply 2 retweets 11 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Laura Bronner‏ @laurabronner 28 Jun 2019

        Taking a look at net favorability, Castro's the candidate who has improved his numbers the most. But Harris and Warren have improved a lot too, and they started from higher baselines.pic.twitter.com/E3H2MsBZIN

        2 replies 2 retweets 8 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Laura Bronner‏ @laurabronner 28 Jun 2019

        This performance-by-favorability chart is consistent with the other data. Broadly, our panel thought Warren and Harris had good nights, with Castro doing particularly well relative to his pre-debate support. By that same metric, Biden and O'Rourke did poorly.pic.twitter.com/sp2gaR29JZ

        1 reply 2 retweets 6 likes
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      5. Laura Bronner‏ @laurabronner 28 Jun 2019

        This is such cool work by @MorningConsult, @bycoffe, @juruwolfe, @CopyCurmudgeon, @micahcohen and many others. And we have plenty more planned with this data!

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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      6. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. InternalTangent‏ @ExternalTangent 28 Jun 2019
        Replying to @laurabronner

        Great stuff here, but one odd thing stood out to me. Is Pete not one of the five polling front-runners, or was that just an error? 🤔 Either way, great visualization and quick poll turnaround.pic.twitter.com/oJBSUnL5l5

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Laura Bronner‏ @laurabronner 29 Jun 2019
        Replying to @ExternalTangent

        Thanks and good catch! We've corrected it.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. jojoko‏ @jojoko 1 Jul 2019
        Replying to @laurabronner @FiveThirtyEight

        How... do... I.... interpret????

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Dan‏ @DanHirschberg 1 Jul 2019
        Replying to @laurabronner @FiveThirtyEight

        People whoafter Debate 1 switched from Biden to a Debate 2 participant hurt my head. Very cool to see Biden -> Bernie -> Harris, and the Harris gains post debate in general.

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      1. John Ho‏ @jsho12 1 Jul 2019
        Replying to @laurabronner @FiveThirtyEight

        No idea how to read this graphic

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. ay‏ @mf_twitur 2 Jul 2019
        Replying to @laurabronner

        Now that Andrew Yang is clearly doing good. Can we stop ignoring him in lieu of Beto, Klobuchar, and some of the other mid tier candidates that keep being brought up only because they’re politicians

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