Quantitative Editor, @FiveThirtyEight | PhD, @LSEGovernment | 
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What are the stakes of including a citizenship question on the census? Predicting the effects of such a giant but uncertain change is really hard, but this great piece by @ameliatd and @ellawinthrop presents five different scenarios.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-citizenship-question-could-cost-california-and-texas-a-seat-in-congress/ …pic.twitter.com/A7MNMUARWB
Each scenario makes different assumptions about (a) which group(s) of people will be undercounted, and (b) by how much. What's striking is that the projected effects on congressional apportionment are quite consistent: CA, and likely TX, will lose out.pic.twitter.com/pkNnBARerz
We thought a lot about how to communicate the uncertainty involved here. Our decision to present all five scenarios, created by three different researchers/teams, is our attempt to show how varying the underlying assumptions affects the forecasts.
Love to take my road trips from las vegas to phoenix via salt lake citypic.twitter.com/YiK2k8l5sZ
I can’t encourage this enough for everyone:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/why-is-this-happening-with-chris-hayes/id1382983397?i=1000423288913 … (There’s this and two follow-ups) It’s shockingly interesting... in fact, it’s one of the most listened to episodes (@chrislhayes) #WITHpodpic.twitter.com/YYPp1YOE35
I'm not going to participate in the upcoming Census and I'm 4th generation. Census-taker was actually my first job; I've been a crew leader. This is a sham census. The compilation and manipulation of data regarding Hispanics/Latinos/Raza goes far beyond the census, btw.
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