in 
, via 
| she/her
How unlikely was this large a discrepancy between the two debates, given the DNC's stratified randomization methodology? Pretty unlikely, but 11% of simulations are even more imbalanced.pic.twitter.com/KSMK7bvxxM
Show this thread
@baseballot and @geoffreyvs look at how lopsided the debates will be.https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-dnc-tried-to-avoid-a-lopsided-debate-it-got-one-anyway/ …
-
-
The line between the two tiers should have been drawn at 5%, ensuring 3 candidates above that threshold on each night. Then the other 14 could have been divided 7 and 7. This approach would have been just as fair yet less lopsided.
-
That would've been better, but the only way to make it close to even was somehow preventing Biden & Sanders from landing on the same night. Combined they have close to 50% of support in the polls.
- 5 more replies
New conversation -
-
-
21% vs 64% polling support on the two nights. Wow.
-
Welcome to randomness
End of conversation
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.