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ksadjadpour's profile
Karim Sadjadpour
Karim Sadjadpour
Karim Sadjadpour
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@ksadjadpour

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Karim SadjadpourVerified account

@ksadjadpour

Senior Fellow @CarnegieEndow; Currently writing a book for @AAKnopf; Adjunct professor @Georgetown; Advisor @AspenInstitute; Former YGL @WEF; 🏃🏽‍♂️

Washington DC
carnegieendowment.org/experts/?fa=340
Joined June 2009

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    Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

    1. Thread: A few things I wanted to highlight from my recent @TheAtlantic piece on #IranProtests or was not able to include:https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/12/the-battle-for-iran/549446/ …

    6:21 PM - 1 Jan 2018
    • 861 Retweets
    • 1,211 Likes
    • Diego Beghin #ExDemocrat 🇺🇸🇨🇦🇬🇧🇦🇺🇮🇱🇮🇳 Malena Olsson وومن immigration detention = $770/night squalor🍑 Ginger Elmira Hamed Rocío EB Susan Leihy
    35 replies 861 retweets 1,211 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        2. First, humility: Despite vast polling/big data Trump's election was unanticipated. Anticipating what will happen in a country largely inaccessible to truly independent investigation/polling is doubly difficult. Anyone who claims they did/can predict things is mistaken

        7 replies 46 retweets 212 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        3. We can salute the courage of non-violent protesters and sympathize with their frustrations but still be sober about their prospects. Citizen protesters, as far as we can tell, remain unarmed, unorganized, and leaderless

        3 replies 51 retweets 179 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        Karim Sadjadpour Retweeted Farnaz Fassihi

        4. The Iranian regime’s vast coercive apparatus, as far as we can tell, remains cohesive, committed, and very well-practiced in repression. They've been doing this a long time, including in Syriahttps://twitter.com/farnazfassihi/status/947914035357417472 …

        Karim Sadjadpour added,

        Farnaz FassihiVerified account @farnazfassihi
        #IRGC announced it is taking charge of #Tehran security. Iron fist is out. #IranProtests #Iran #تظاهرات_سراسری‌ https://twitter.com/roozarooznews/status/947843666827194369 …
        5 replies 80 retweets 147 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        5. In contrast to the Shah's political and military elite-many of whom were educated abroad or had foreign passports-the Islamic Republic's political/military elite don't have an Option B abroad. Option A, therefore, is to stay in power by all means necessary

        7 replies 80 retweets 188 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        6. The Islamic Republic may be able to rely, if necessary, on the Shia militias they’ve been training for years (in Syria/Iraq) and in some cases decades (Hezbollah). Fighting unarmed Iranian civilians will be easier for them than fighting Syrian rebels/Sunni jihadists

        7 replies 58 retweets 127 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        Karim Sadjadpour Retweeted Babak Taghvaee - Μπάπακ Τακβαίε - بابک تقوایی

        7. While I agree the #1 frustration of most protesters/Iranians is economic, accusing your political representatives of plunder and mismanagement is inherently political. Protest slogans reflect this:https://twitter.com/BabakTaghvaee/status/946780411799236608 …

        Karim Sadjadpour added,

        0:29
        Babak Taghvaee - Μπάπακ Τακβαίε - بابک تقوایی @BabakTaghvaee
        People of Bojnurd, Northwest of Iran started protesting Islamic regime authorities due to their corruption and mismanagement now, they chant: "They used Islam to make us Poor". pic.twitter.com/2eekONwjqR
        Show this thread
        1 reply 61 retweets 143 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        8. It is often male analysts insensitive to the indignities of women living in Iran who claim that protests are solely driven by economic frustration. Follow the great @AlinejadMasih to learn more

        7 replies 110 retweets 251 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        9. Human beings everywhere find corruption, repression, and injustice even more insulting when it's conducted from a moral pedestal. Transparency international ranks Iran--an Islamist theocracy--131/176 countries on the corruption indexhttps://www.transparency.org/country/IRN 

        2 replies 77 retweets 243 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        10. Another stat: During Iran’s 2009 protests less than 1m people had smart phones, few outside Tehran. Today 48 MILLION people have them. State-controlled media is less potent when people have independent news sources-and video cameras-in their pocket http://techrasa.com/2017/07/19/48-million-smartphones-iran/ …

        9 replies 235 retweets 454 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        11. Another notable stat: A 2017 Gallup “Global Emotions” ranked Iran #3 in the world in “Highest Negative Experiences” (i.e. daily frustration/anger) after Iraq and South Sudan, of 142 countries surveyed:http://news.gallup.com/reports/212648/gallup-global-emotions-report-2017.aspx …

        2 replies 63 retweets 161 likes
        Show this thread
      12. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        12. I still find it remarkable these protests began in deeply religious/traditional cities like Mashhad and Qom, long considered to be government strongholds. It is akin to national anti-Trump protests beginning in Kentucky

        10 replies 121 retweets 327 likes
        Show this thread
      13. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        13. Many folks in the West are obsessed with comparing Iran to Saudi Arabia. Most Iranians resent this comparison. You’ll never meet an Iranian who says, “I’m content w/ my life b/c we have more freedoms than Saudi.” Increasingly the latter is not even true anymore.

        10 replies 80 retweets 216 likes
        Show this thread
      14. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        14. There are several folks offering commentary in the Western media who were/are employed by official Iranian government political/media organs. They should be transparent about this, just as former US officials are transparent about their work experience

        16 replies 96 retweets 231 likes
        Show this thread
      15. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        Karim Sadjadpour Retweeted

        15. This video reflects a common sentiment one hears among younger Iranians toward their parent’s generation, who brought down an authoritarian monarchy only to usher in an even more authoritarian (politically, economically, and socially) theocracy https://twitter.com/ArminNavabi/status/947914927129448452 …

        Karim Sadjadpour added,

        This Tweet is unavailable.
        15 replies 309 retweets 515 likes
        Show this thread
      16. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        16. Laura Secor’s book ‘Children of Paradise’ covers Iran's generational divides well. It's terrific book on Iran's contemporary history https://www.amazon.com/dp/B00XIYG5YK/ref=dp-kindle-redirect?_encoding=UTF8&btkr=1 …

        5 replies 57 retweets 183 likes
        Show this thread
      17. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        17. Regimes totally untethered from the West-like Iran-can commit far greater brutality against their own population. Hosni Mubarak couldn’t mass murder/gas/displace civilians like Bashar Assad, who needn't worry that Tehran/Moscow will stop providing him military/financial aid

        50 replies 92 retweets 185 likes
        Show this thread
      18. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        18. Things US should do: 1)Carefully crafted statements of solidarity 2) Censuring those who provide Tehran the means/technology to repress/black out communication. 3)Mobilize allies who have good ties to Iran—EU, Japan, India, S Korea, etc-to deter massive crackdown/black out

        9 replies 148 retweets 272 likes
        Show this thread
      19. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        19. On Friday January 5 we (@CarnegieEndow @CDA) will be talking more about these issues and launching an extensive report on Iran's Cyber capabilities/activities/repression, based on over a year of primary researchhttp://carnegieendowment.org/2018/01/05/iran-s-cyber-threat-event-5778 …

        18 replies 75 retweets 191 likes
        Show this thread
      20. Karim Sadjadpour‏Verified account @ksadjadpour 1 Jan 2018

        20. Things US should not do: 1) Encourage/incite protestors. George HW Bush encouraged Iraqis to rise up against Saddam in 1991, when they did so Saddam crushed them and Bush was blamed. 2) Unscripted presidential tweets that divert attention from Iran’s repression

        20 replies 208 retweets 543 likes
        Show this thread
      21. End of conversation

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