@kprostyakov #MH370 My predicted location only 13 NM away from your acoustic estimate of noise event location. Both are exactly on 7th arc.
This is how a potential #MH370 impact signal looks across the IO. Works out to 40.165S 83.795E with <10sec residuals pic.twitter.com/UYILZHKdFa
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@DrBobbyUlich I pickd 5 sts with obvious single candidate for time window ~40s84e and re-calculated center, then picked others, rinse repeat0 retweets 0 likes - View other replies
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@kprostyakov How wide was time window that you used to pick events for best 5 stations? Are locations of stations easy to find online?0 retweets 0 likes -
@DrBobbyUlich locations can be had from IRIS site, my timings are here with coords: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1tgb0k4x9WOTyWYXI6U1TUZA5MGyXUhM1Z_Wk-1IjEM4/edit?usp=sharing …1 retweet 2 likes -
@kprostyakov Using 1.46 moves times earlier by ~8 s for AIS and ~20 s for distant stations. The residuals might go lower if u fit speed.0 retweets 0 likes -
@DrBobbyUlich speed is tricky to fit, as effective speed is different for all sts (both due to path in ocean and in ground after T->P conv)0 retweets 0 likes - View other replies
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@kprostyakov 2/2 Then we could probably calibrate relative timing down to a couple of seconds and locate within 1-3NM!!!0 retweets 0 likes -
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@kprostyakov Kirill, do you plan to create a colorized "sum sq. residuals" map like you did before?0 retweets 0 likes -
@DrBobbyUlich sure, I need to make a few sub-10sec adjustments based on horizontal comps. I'll make a map and pdfs of picks for a writeup0 retweets 1 like - View other replies
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@kprostyakov Are you forcing sound speed constant for all stations? What value are you finding? Must be very close to 1.46.0 retweets 0 likes -
@DrBobbyUlich used 1.47 km/sec. Although from what I've read it can be in the range 1.46..1.49 for different sts, based on latitude.0 retweets 0 likes -
@kprostyakov Have u tried fitting speed? Might reduce residuals if stations vary in range. Can fit lat, lon, time, and average speed.0 retweets 0 likes
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@kprostyakov New pos is right on 7th arc. Did you force solution to be on arc or was any lat/lon nearby possible?0 retweets 0 likes -
@DrBobbyUlich no, did not force, search within 40s84e+-5 deg. first iteration only with 5 stronger sts gave center at 40.147, 83.831 retweet 1 like
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@lucybarnes_ just exploring what the data have to offer, all this is not cast in stone. The whole area needs to be checked for fit to data1 retweet 1 like
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@kprostyakov As u are seismic expert:kinetic energy of 777 impact on water is really enough to be picked up by geophones for seismic events?0 retweets 0 likes -
@gerry_vienna ~1e5 kg x (1e4) (m/s)^2 = 1e9 J impact energy ~ 1e2 kg TNT equiv. T wav from sim charges were routinely seen across the globe0 retweets 3 likes
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@kprostyakov@DrBobbyUlich Is it possible to calculate the type of acoustic event that would be needed to support this result?0 retweets 0 likes - View other replies
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@JC_cracked
@DrBobbyUlich Aircaft is (point) source of pressure for time duration of Length/ImpVel at frequency SoundVelWater/ImpFootprint0 retweets 0 likes
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Kirill Prostyakov
Dr. Bobby Ulich
Lucy Barnes
Gerhard Landauf
John Chambers