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kkondik's profile
Kyle Kondik
Kyle Kondik
Kyle Kondik
Verified account
@kkondik

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Kyle KondikVerified account

@kkondik

American elections commentator and analyst; Managing Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball at UVA Center for Politics. Sign up free at http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball 

DC; kondik@virginia.edu
kylekondik.com
Joined February 2011

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    Kyle Kondik‏Verified account @kkondik May 17

    These are the current Crystal Ball Senate ratings. PA (open Republican seat) is the only Toss-up. NH would join it if Sununu runspic.twitter.com/gtBXhRX7qk

    12:02 PM - 17 May 2021
    • 68 Retweets
    • 305 Likes
    • Daniel Sykes (He/They) Hotchkiss-Bailey 🗽 Brendo RN Spencer Thomas #MintTheCoin 🦭 Ethan Kiyoshi Governor Hub Matt Greathouse Romeo Radulescu
    34 replies 68 retweets 305 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Joe Petrizzo‏ @joepetz May 17
        Replying to @kkondik

        I feel like Republican recruiting is pretty weak right now, even in their open seats, but it also was in 2014.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Previn Witana‏ @lordpet8 May 17
        Replying to @joepetz @kkondik

        Granted it's still early. I remember feeling that way for CO-Sen; and then Cory Gardner got in in the 11th hour

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Dan Lazinsk‏ @Dlazi May 17
        Replying to @kkondik

        Still don’t understand the Wisconsin rating. Should be a toss up

        1 reply 0 retweets 12 likes
      3. Akaash Kolluri‏ @akaashkolluri May 17
        Replying to @Dlazi @kkondik

        Almost 4 points redder than the national popular vote in 2020, in a cycle that favors the GOP? Lean R seems right

        1 reply 0 retweets 20 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Nick Briody‏ @nick_briody May 17
        Replying to @kkondik

        Wisconsin, NC, AZ?

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      3. Eric Cunningham‏ @decunningham2 May 17
        Replying to @nick_briody @kkondik

        Can answer on NC - Dem midterms tend to be bad here for Dems, and on top of that the Democratic recruits all have serious flaws. not a good outlook for dems even with an open seat.

        6 replies 2 retweets 22 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Elk Grove News‏ @ElkGroveNews May 17
        Replying to @kkondik

        The fact Georgia is light blue is surprising given the close results and the new voter suppression laws being enacted. Bigger demographic changes than previously reported?

        3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. New conversation
      2. Donald Spines‏ @SunnyDfan4eva May 17
        Replying to @kkondik

        This is very bullish for Dems, would think AZ and GA should be tossups

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Jason‏ @JL7612 May 17
        Replying to @SunnyDfan4eva @kkondik

        CB usually doesn't move incumbents out of Lean before the field's set, iirc

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Joshua Crawford‏ @JoshCrawfordNE May 17
        Replying to @kkondik

        Out of curiosity, I found the May 2019 map for the upcoming 2020 Senate races. The regular GA-SEN race was lean Republican.pic.twitter.com/BundUIXVYU

        10 replies 1 retweet 22 likes
      3. Joshua Trujillo‏ @yeshuatrujillo May 17
        Replying to @JoshCrawfordNE @kkondik

        Well, Perdue was only a hair's breadth away from winning it outright in November and then Trump went and sabotaged Republican turnout for the run offs. I'd personally consider Warnock's seat a toss up.

        1 reply 2 retweets 10 likes
      4. Show replies

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