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1/n One of @gwern's best essays ever is a review of a book nobody has ever heard of.
It's about looking into the future, seeing exactly what awaits us, and being unable to capitalize on this knowledge, because you only know *what* will be and not *when* it will be.
It's not as simple as picking the right point in time to hit the inflection point on a curve. There are multiple dependencies, each tech and econ factor on its own trajectory and curve. It's predicting the inflection point on a curve through N-dimensional space.
