I very much do believe NYC's 1970s population drop was due to zoning. Some places had no demand, sure. But the (expanding!) Manhattan...pic.twitter.com/FE3dBivQd6
Partner at @initialized. Previously @techcrunch. When life hands me lemons, I make tarte au citron.
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I very much do believe NYC's 1970s population drop was due to zoning. Some places had no demand, sure. But the (expanding!) Manhattan...pic.twitter.com/FE3dBivQd6
...core & "suburban" areas had HUGE unmet demand, w/construction eviscerated post-1961 zoning code, huge rent hikes after it took effect
But why was population falling, instead of simply stabilizing? Declining household sizes!
There's this myth that all of NYC looked like the South Bronx and Bed-Stuy in the 1970s. This ignores the fact that the majority of the...
...city – gentrifying Manhattan, southern Bklyn, eastern Queens, northern Bronx, Staten Island – had rents high enough to support building
This is not a novel thought. YIMBYs know that zoning deregulation's biggest effect would be more suburban townhouses, and are in favor of itpic.twitter.com/l4snNvzanK
The "Manhattan can't double its density easily but West Orange can increase it" line is stupid. No built out place can double in 10 years.
If you see 10-year doubling, it's either because a new subdivision just got built, or because an entirely non-resi area got some housing.
(Ad the latter: Metro Vancouver's fastest growth since the 1970s has been downtown, but that's because in the 1970s it was 100% commercial.)
A realistic long-term growth rate without zoning - in either West Orange or Manhattan - is maybe 10 units per 1,000 people, so 2-3%/year.
2-3% year would still be 5X SF's 20-year trailing average.
It would be very delightful to watch every single townhouse put up for sale below 96th St. get scooped up by a developer and torn down
No. That would be efficient. Delightful would be high-rise subsidized housing for Somali refugee families in Darien.
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