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kimmaicutler's profile
Kim-Mai Cutler
Kim-Mai Cutler
Kim-Mai Cutler
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@kimmaicutler

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Kim-Mai CutlerVerified account

@kimmaicutler

Partner at @initialized. Previously @techcrunch. When life hands me lemons, I make tarte au citron.

San Francisco
medium.com/initialized-ca…
Joined April 2008

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    1. Anna Stansbury‏ @annastansbury May 26
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      Finally, some argue that falling investment/fundamentals could have been caused by monopoly power. But (1) real investment has fallen much less than nominal, and (2) investment relative to *underlying profits* (profits to capital + rents to labor) has fallen very little [13/N]pic.twitter.com/u8DgCDcSVc

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    2. Anna Stansbury‏ @annastansbury May 26
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      At the start of this thread, we wrote that declining worker power had been under-emphasized relative to other explanations based on globalization, technological change, and monopoly or monopsony power. What about those explanations? [14/N]

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    3. Anna Stansbury‏ @annastansbury May 26
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      While globalization & tech change are clearly important: (1) the labor share decline has been bigger in US than other countries, & (2) trends in Q, profitability, markups are hard to explain under perfect comp, suggesting a role for country-specific non-competitive factors [15/N]

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    4. Anna Stansbury‏ @annastansbury May 26
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      Ofc, unionization was affected by globalization and tech change (increasing elasticity of labor demand)- but this can't be the whole story. A similar proportional fall in unionization occurred across industries, & cross-country trends in unionization have been v different [16/N]pic.twitter.com/SmWoCEbbYV

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    5. Anna Stansbury‏ @annastansbury May 26
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      While monopoly and monopsony power matter in a static sense, and have likely⬆️in some markets: (1) declining worker power can explain aggregate trends in labor share, Q, profitability, markups equally well, [17/N] *defining monopsony as arising from elasticity of LS to firm

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    6. Anna Stansbury‏ @annastansbury May 26
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      (2) Declining worker power is more consistent w/ industry level evidence: - Worker power has more explanatory power than concentration for labor share, profitability & Q - Much of labor share⬇️was in manufacturing (where, w/ globalization,⬆️monopoly power seems unlikely) [18/N]

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    7. Anna Stansbury‏ @annastansbury May 26
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      (3) Declining worker power is more consistent with the fall in the NAIRU, (4) There is more direct evidence of a broad-based decline in worker power than of a large aggregate increase in monopoly or monopsony power [19/N]

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    8. Anna Stansbury‏ @annastansbury May 26
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      (What do we actually mean by "decline in worker power"? Falling unionization & union power, falling real min wage, & increased shareholder empowerment & activism of shareholders have all disempowered workers in recent decades. Lots of work demonstrating and studying this [20/N])

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    9. Anna Stansbury‏ @annastansbury May 26
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      What does this all mean? The evidence is quite compelling that institutional changes, causing a decline in worker power, have been at the root of many of the major macro trends in the American economy over recent decades.... [21/N]

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    10. Anna Stansbury‏ @annastansbury May 26
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      ... And if falling worker power has indeed been a major cause of rising inequality & low wage growth, & if these problems can't be addressed by making markets more competitive, it would strongly suggest that more should be done to promote workers' countervailing power. [/End]pic.twitter.com/ve8kSz9UU7

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      Kim-Mai Cutler‏Verified account @kimmaicutler May 26
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      Replying to @annastansbury

      @jasonpjason

      8:06 PM - 26 May 2020
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