But how does another month help avoid that? And is the word of experts like this worth 30 million unemployed people? Separate issue but it's worth trying to put yourself in their shoes
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The Bay Area is loosening some restrictions starting next week. Did everyone just forget what happened to the NYC hospital system or the North Italian hospital system?
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I'm trying to do the math. Of course I have seen the sensationalized media on other cities which I can't fully embrace because I'm not privy to all details. With a 2 week incubation period and 45 days of quarantine how much more do you think we need?
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What do we have in place to manage exponential growth on the other side, should we see it? The plan was always to give enough time to increase hospital capacity, tests and sufficiently large contact tracing teams and infrastructure.
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But they haven't used the time to increase hospital capacity. If legitimate experts think that's important then great let's do it, but nobody wants to sit at home while the government sits on their hands
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Replying to @rogerdickey @kimmaicutler and
That's not true. Yes, the federal gov't has done little, but states like California & NY have ramped up hospital capacity, testing, and have been planning tracing (though they need more time there).
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Replying to @nabeel @rogerdickey and
Worried about the cost to workers? Then demand better unemployment support akin to Germany or Canada, or demand/work on speeding up test & trace so we can get out of this mess.
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Replying to @nabeel @kimmaicutler and
Yes, the cost to workers, the incredible hit to our economy, being imprisoned at home, and the dubious impact to young people who IMO should be allowed to exit SIP at their own risk. Naval wrote more on this last idea.
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Replying to @rogerdickey @kimmaicutler and
If you overwhelm hospitals, all the young people get to die as well. This is similar to tragedy of the commons stuff. But, you can get all the stuff you want with better testing & tracing.
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Replying to @nabeel @kimmaicutler and
I bet my life that I would be fine but I’m not being given that choice. Neither are the unemployed. It sucks to be on the wrong side when special government powers are in effect.
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It’s not about you. R0 is 2-2.5. What about the other people you might infect, some of whom end up hospitalized or dead? What about the healthcare workers, who should be given adequate time to get sufficient PPE and resources to actually treat everyone and not have to triage?
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Replying to @kimmaicutler @nabeel and
We talked about hospitals above. Please take a look at Naval's plan re people aged <50. There's no risk to others who don't opt in.
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