we're going slow to see if anything causes a mortality spike that overloads hospitals. Our CFR is way lower than other parts of the country because our system isn't overloaded.
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Replying to @kimmaicutler @justinkan
Mortality spikes and morality spikes. We should be wary of both :)
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Replying to @rogerdickey @justinkan
Feel free to disregard UCSF epidemiologist George Rutherford, who said last week on Grand Rounds w/
@bob_wachter that there was an 80-90% chance of a second wave:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zJKrnpG_dAE …2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes -
But how does another month help avoid that? And is the word of experts like this worth 30 million unemployed people? Separate issue but it's worth trying to put yourself in their shoes
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The Bay Area is loosening some restrictions starting next week. Did everyone just forget what happened to the NYC hospital system or the North Italian hospital system?
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I'm trying to do the math. Of course I have seen the sensationalized media on other cities which I can't fully embrace because I'm not privy to all details. With a 2 week incubation period and 45 days of quarantine how much more do you think we need?
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What do we have in place to manage exponential growth on the other side, should we see it? The plan was always to give enough time to increase hospital capacity, tests and sufficiently large contact tracing teams and infrastructure.
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But they haven't used the time to increase hospital capacity. If legitimate experts think that's important then great let's do it, but nobody wants to sit at home while the government sits on their hands
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Replying to @rogerdickey @kimmaicutler and
That's not true. Yes, the federal gov't has done little, but states like California & NY have ramped up hospital capacity, testing, and have been planning tracing (though they need more time there).
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Replying to @nabeel @kimmaicutler and
I was referring to SF. How much have we ramped capacity here?
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Kim-Mai Cutler Retweeted London Breed
We doubled ICU bed capacity.https://twitter.com/londonbreed/status/1247304727559147522?s=21 …
Kim-Mai Cutler added,
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