Indeed. The Bay Area is at five weeks into shelter in place and we are plateaued at 200 new cases per day. https://projects.sfchronicle.com/2020/coronavirus-map/ … https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1252124271549116416 …pic.twitter.com/NiFlviBsuo
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Really need to know where these cases are coming from. 200 cases a day that walk in off the street are a lot worse than 200 cases a day from well-defined lines of transmission that can be targeted for interruption.
About 20% of nursing homes are reporting cases in CA as of 2 days ago. That's a huge source of infectionshttps://www.nbcbayarea.com/news/local/east-bay/state-health-officials-release-list-of-covid-19-cases-in-nursing-homes/2275422/ …
A big percentage of US cases are in institutional settings like nursing homes (and homeless shelters in SF) so I'm not sure what the plateau means in that context
Could it be that increased testing leads to more reported cases per actual infection? Pretty sure more people being tested than two weeks ago.
China didn’t open anything, people travel by lottery from Wuhan to Beijing
Even with SIP, we probably have 15-20% essential workers who could be infected. We need to aggressively test/quarantine every essential worker before we plan on relaxing restrictions. If we cannot track&trace 15-20% of population, would be hard to reopen.
Are we testing every front line worker (grocery stores/delivery/restaurants/... )?
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