It would be good to calculate surge capacity needed for hospitals if majority of cases were <50 and low comorbidities. Is existing surge capacity sufficient? We would also need ways to protect our elderly and vulnerable from infection. These are all real challenges.
-
Show this thread
-
We are all hopeful for a vaccine. The fastest modern vaccine development was ~5 years for Ebola: https://www.who.int/news-room/detail/12-11-2019-who-prequalifies-ebola-vaccine-paving-the-way-for-its-use-in-high-risk-countries … Even the most optimistic reviews suggested 12-18 months at the *very soonest* for a COVID vaccinehttps://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2020/04/15/coronavirus-vaccine-prospects …
3 replies 10 retweets 37 likesShow this thread -
This means a second wave is very likely. Can our economy take another shock? The people marginalized and most vulnerable in society are those most impacted by an economic downturn. Some estimate 20-30% of the country will be unemployedhttps://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/09/business/economy/unemployment-claim-numbers-coronavirus.html …
3 replies 6 retweets 41 likesShow this thread -
Retail spending is plunging: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-15/u-s-retail-sales-plunged-by-record-8-7-in-march-amid-pandemic … Factory output is dropping:https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-15/u-s-retail-sales-plunged-by-record-8-7-in-march-amid-pandemic?sref=HslSB3OZ …
1 reply 4 retweets 23 likesShow this thread -
Cities and states will need to slash budgets. This will impact social services and our ability to help those in most need:https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/San-Francisco-projecting-budget-shortfall-as-high-15169360.php# …
2 replies 4 retweets 20 likesShow this thread -
Revenue at many non-profit hospitals have fallen 50%. We need a healthy economy to provide for the health of our society.https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-26/hospital-revenue-is-falling-faster-than-expected-jpmorgan-says …
2 replies 8 retweets 35 likesShow this thread -
Once society opens slowly & thoughtfully, is there path to not lock down people <50 (or 60?) without comorbidities to avoid future lock downs? Could we reopen most of society permanently while protecting vulnerable? A thought experiment for discussionhttps://docs.google.com/document/d/1hbnDIwW8MPE5X5bMwEMGD-DiR-HLEGpqzZKiNi2dkc8/edit?usp=sharing …
15 replies 28 retweets 69 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @eladgil
Is deaths the right measure, what about hospitalizations by age and long-term health impacts — eg new dialysis needs or permanent respiratory damage by age?
3 replies 0 retweets 9 likes -
Replying to @kimmaicutler @eladgil
What about potential heart, liver, and kidney damage? How about we acknowledge that a crapshoot is not a strategy. Increase testing...or don't reopen at all. It's been a month and a half and we are still flying blind.
1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes -
Replying to @SuzanneAldrich @kimmaicutler
I agree we need to reopen thoughtfully. Test/trace/isolate is key. I have not seen data on who impacted w 2ndary issues from COVID Eg, is it also concentrated above a certain age? Or in people with diabetes or other comorbidities? If so we need to protect the vulnerable.
1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
Would love to see you on this state task force btw: https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Task-Force-on-Business-and-Jobs-Recovery.pdf …
-
-
Replying to @kimmaicutler @eladgil
What's the easiest protocol we can deploy widely to ensure worker and consumer protection? Antibody testing to go back to work, with a means to validate antibody status to employer without violating privacy. Statewide face covering mandate. Boarding plane requires negative test.
0 replies 0 retweets 0 likesThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.