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kimmaicutler's profile
Kim-Mai Cutler
Kim-Mai Cutler
Kim-Mai Cutler
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@kimmaicutler

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Kim-Mai CutlerVerified account

@kimmaicutler

Partner at @initialized. Previously @techcrunch. When life hands me lemons, I make tarte au citron.

San Francisco
medium.com/initialized-ca…
Joined April 2008

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    1. Elad Gil‏Verified account @eladgil Apr 19
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      In New York State, 207 of 9371 (2.2%) of COVID deaths were under age 40. 588 (6.2%) under age 50.pic.twitter.com/baXFLSQory

      1 reply 7 retweets 28 likes
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    2. Elad Gil‏Verified account @eladgil Apr 19
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      Most deaths in NY have an associated co-morbidity. Under 44, 90% of people have diabetes, COPD, or other illness. Over 75, it is 99%.pic.twitter.com/5I74B08DBv

      4 replies 12 retweets 38 likes
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    3. Elad Gil‏Verified account @eladgil Apr 19
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      Hospitalizations also have a strong age dependence. NYC data shows a significant difference per capita in hospitalizations by agepic.twitter.com/c7fhbgyY6Z

      1 reply 3 retweets 22 likes
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    4. Elad Gil‏Verified account @eladgil Apr 19
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      It would be good to calculate surge capacity needed for hospitals if majority of cases were <50 and low comorbidities. Is existing surge capacity sufficient? We would also need ways to protect our elderly and vulnerable from infection. These are all real challenges.

      3 replies 2 retweets 18 likes
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    5. Elad Gil‏Verified account @eladgil Apr 19
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      We are all hopeful for a vaccine. The fastest modern vaccine development was ~5 years for Ebola: https://www.who.int/news-room/detail/12-11-2019-who-prequalifies-ebola-vaccine-paving-the-way-for-its-use-in-high-risk-countries … Even the most optimistic reviews suggested 12-18 months at the *very soonest* for a COVID vaccinehttps://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2020/04/15/coronavirus-vaccine-prospects …

      3 replies 10 retweets 37 likes
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    6. Elad Gil‏Verified account @eladgil Apr 19
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      This means a second wave is very likely. Can our economy take another shock? The people marginalized and most vulnerable in society are those most impacted by an economic downturn. Some estimate 20-30% of the country will be unemployedhttps://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/09/business/economy/unemployment-claim-numbers-coronavirus.html …

      3 replies 6 retweets 41 likes
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    7. Elad Gil‏Verified account @eladgil Apr 19
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      Retail spending is plunging: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-15/u-s-retail-sales-plunged-by-record-8-7-in-march-amid-pandemic … Factory output is dropping:https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-15/u-s-retail-sales-plunged-by-record-8-7-in-march-amid-pandemic?sref=HslSB3OZ …

      1 reply 4 retweets 23 likes
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    8. Elad Gil‏Verified account @eladgil Apr 19
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      Cities and states will need to slash budgets. This will impact social services and our ability to help those in most need:https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/San-Francisco-projecting-budget-shortfall-as-high-15169360.php# …

      2 replies 4 retweets 20 likes
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    9. Elad Gil‏Verified account @eladgil Apr 19
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      Revenue at many non-profit hospitals have fallen 50%. We need a healthy economy to provide for the health of our society.https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-26/hospital-revenue-is-falling-faster-than-expected-jpmorgan-says …

      2 replies 8 retweets 35 likes
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    10. Elad Gil‏Verified account @eladgil Apr 19
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      Once society opens slowly & thoughtfully, is there path to not lock down people <50 (or 60?) without comorbidities to avoid future lock downs? Could we reopen most of society permanently while protecting vulnerable? A thought experiment for discussionhttps://docs.google.com/document/d/1hbnDIwW8MPE5X5bMwEMGD-DiR-HLEGpqzZKiNi2dkc8/edit?usp=sharing …

      15 replies 28 retweets 69 likes
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      Kim-Mai Cutler‏Verified account @kimmaicutler Apr 19
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      Replying to @eladgil

      Is deaths the right measure, what about hospitalizations by age and long-term health impacts — eg new dialysis needs or permanent respiratory damage by age?

      2:14 PM - 19 Apr 2020
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      • Cryptoe9 Kenya Wheeler Sam Dodge Ryan King KTJ 🍍(Indefinite Tweeter Quarantine) Jason Peter Morelli JDL David Watkins
      3 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Elad Gil‏Verified account @eladgil Apr 19
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          Replying to @kimmaicutler

          Hospitalizations are key. I touch on it in the doc but think a lot more analysis needed there. NY data suggests on a per capita basis, 10-12X more people are hospitalized over 65 versus 18-44 (and 100X more versus <18) https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page …

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Elad Gil‏Verified account @eladgil Apr 19
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          Replying to @eladgil @kimmaicutler

          I am still waiting for real papers versus anecdotes on long term damage from COVID-19. I have not seen strong (any real?) studies so think the jury is out. The biggest anecdotal credible thing I have heard is a lot of micro clotting causing secondary issues.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Suzanne Aldrich‏ @SuzanneAldrich Apr 19
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          Replying to @kimmaicutler @eladgil

          What about potential heart, liver, and kidney damage? How about we acknowledge that a crapshoot is not a strategy. Increase testing...or don't reopen at all. It's been a month and a half and we are still flying blind.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Elad Gil‏Verified account @eladgil Apr 19
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          Replying to @SuzanneAldrich @kimmaicutler

          I agree we need to reopen thoughtfully. Test/trace/isolate is key. I have not seen data on who impacted w 2ndary issues from COVID Eg, is it also concentrated above a certain age? Or in people with diabetes or other comorbidities? If so we need to protect the vulnerable.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. JDL‏ @JasperdeLange_ Apr 19
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          Replying to @kimmaicutler @eladgil

          This is the big question. Anekdotal stories exist. Austrians that recover (without a hospital visit) but with serious lung damage. Unknown ig its permanent. Percentages unknown. Therefore precautionary principle is best. Also, what unknown effect besides in lungs we miss so far?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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