“The Bay Area and New York City had about 300 and 450 cases, respectively, when the Bay Area stay-home orders were issued on March 16. Four days later, when Cuomo shut down the state, New York City had 5,500 cases. The Bay Area: 539.” #StayHomeSaveLiveshttps://twitter.com/sfchronicle/status/1242589418248159239 …
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just got a text from a friend who’s had a dry cough for the last 2-3 weeks and just visited urgent care... it seems some spots are still finding every excuse not to test...pic.twitter.com/F4XcgyszZV
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Good test data here: https://covidtracking.com/data/ California is about 1/4 # of tests but only about 15% positive rates vs 30% for NY. In fairness to NY, there was a strong shift to work from home in early March at an individual and company level which likely helped.
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Density has to be a huge issue too. If SF were as dense as NYC, cases would likely be up.
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SF is the second most densely populated city in the country. So even when adjusting for this, it still doesn’t add up.
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The bay area is large though! I'm worried about Santa Clara, where hospitalizations are rising: https://www.eastbaytimes.com/2020/03/24/coronavirus-when-will-bay-area-hospitals-see-surge-in-patients/ … And 16 deaths seems quite high if there are only 375 cases, there appears to be uneven access to testing even within the bay area https://www.sccgov.org/sites/phd/DiseaseInformation/novel-coronavirus/Pages/home.aspx …
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