Can anyone explain the theory where it's ok to go back to public schools / public gatherings in ~4-6 weeks? The virus won't be gone then, right? Even if its numbers diminish a lot, wouldn't it go back to its fast growth rate once we go back to normal?
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Replying to @eliotwb
i think we're just trying to avoid overwhelming the hospitals, most of which were not prepared for this, and to buy ourselves some time
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Replying to @micsolana @eliotwb
there are several assumptions built into this approach which may not be valid.
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there are roughly 500 adult ICU beds in SF. Once those are full, doctors are going to have to send people away (to die).
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Replying to @kimmaicutler @rabois and
Do you think that the medical system and city will set up fever clinics in tents in large open spaces?
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Replying to @jemenger @kimmaicutler and
Not that this replaces ICUs, but wouldn't that free up space to create more wards equipped for the severe cases?
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yes many options are on the table for creating large- scale temporary quarantine areas in the city. There is some debate about home quarantine vs. centralized quarantine since a lot of transmission is seen *within* households.
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